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在大都市环境中 COVID-19 的病死率和结核病。

COVID-19 case fatality rate and tuberculosis in a metropolitan setting.

机构信息

Centro de Investigaciones Tecnológicas, Biomédicas y Medioambientales (CITBM), Callao, Peru.

Sociedad Científica de San Fernando (SCSF), Lima, Peru.

出版信息

J Med Virol. 2021 May;93(5):3273-3276. doi: 10.1002/jmv.26868. Epub 2021 Feb 23.

Abstract

In this study, we aimed to assess the relationship between tuberculosis case rate and COVID-19 case fatality rate (CFR) among districts within a tuberculosis-endemic metropolitan area. We analyzed data from 43 districts in Lima, Peru. We used districts as the units of observation. Linear regressions were used to investigate the relationship between COVID-19 CFRs and tuberculosis case rates. The mean COVID-19 CFR in each district for reporting Weeks 5-32 was used as the dependent variable. Independent variable was the mean rate of confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis cases for 2017-2019 period. Analyses were adjusted by population density, socioeconomic status, crowded housing, health facility density, and case rates of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and HIV infection. The mean COVID-19 CFR in Lima was 4.0% ± 1.1%. The mean tuberculosis rate was 16.0 cases per 10,000 inhabitants. In multivariate analysis, tuberculosis case rate was associated with COVID-19 CFR (β = 1.26; 95% confidence interval: 0.24-2.28; p = .02), after adjusting for potential confounders. We found that Lima districts with a higher burden of tuberculosis exhibited higher COVID-19 CFRs, independent of socioeconomic, and morbidity variables.

摘要

在这项研究中,我们旨在评估结核病高发地区内各地区结核病发病率与 COVID-19 病死率(CFR)之间的关系。我们分析了秘鲁利马 43 个区的数据。我们将区作为观察单位。使用线性回归来研究 COVID-19 CFR 与结核病发病率之间的关系。各地区报告的第 5-32 周的平均 COVID-19 CFR 用作因变量。独立变量是 2017-2019 年确诊肺结核病例的平均发生率。分析通过人口密度、社会经济地位、拥挤住房、卫生设施密度以及高血压、糖尿病和 HIV 感染病例率进行调整。利马的平均 COVID-19 CFR 为 4.0%±1.1%。平均结核病发病率为每 10000 居民 16.0 例。在多变量分析中,在调整了潜在混杂因素后,结核病发病率与 COVID-19 CFR 相关(β=1.26;95%置信区间:0.24-2.28;p=0.02)。我们发现,在利马,结核病负担较重的地区 COVID-19 CFR 较高,这与社会经济和发病变量无关。

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