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新冠病毒在印度病死率影响因素的相关性研究

Correlation study to identify the factors affecting COVID-19 case fatality rates in India.

机构信息

Department of Electronics, Rajkiya Engineering College Kannauj, UP, 209732, India.

Department of Geography, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, 221005, India.

出版信息

Diabetes Metab Syndr. 2021 May-Jun;15(3):993-999. doi: 10.1016/j.dsx.2021.04.025. Epub 2021 May 10.

DOI:10.1016/j.dsx.2021.04.025
PMID:33984819
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8110283/
Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

In India, COVID-19 case fatality rates (CFRs) have consistently been very high in states like Punjab and Maharashtra and very low in Kerala and Assam. To investigate the discrepancy in state-wise CFRs, datasets on various factors related to demography, socio-economy, public health, and healthcare capacity have been collected to study their association with CFR.

METHODS

State-wise COVID-19 data was collected till April 22, 2021. The latest data on the various factors have been collected from reliable sources. Pearson correlation, two-tailed P test, Spearman rank correlation, and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) structures have been used to assess the association between various factors and CFR.

RESULTS

Life expectancies, prevalence of overweight, COVID-19 test positive rates, and H1N1 fatality rates show a significant positive association with CFR. Human Development Index, per capita GDP, public affairs index, health expenditure per capita, availability of govt. doctors & hospital beds, prevalence of certain diseases, and comorbidities like diabetes and hypertension show insignificant association with CFR. Sex ratio, health expenditure as a percent of GSDP, and availability of govt. hospitals show a significant negative correlation with CFR.

CONCLUSION

The study indicates that older people, males of younger age groups, and overweight people are at more fatality risk from COVID-19. Certain diseases and common comorbidities like diabetes and hypertension do not seem to have any significant effect on CFR. States with better COVID-19 testing rates, health expenditure, and healthcare capacity seem to perform better with regard to COVID-19 fatality rates.

摘要

背景与目的

在印度,旁遮普邦和马哈拉施特拉邦等邦的 COVID-19 病死率 (CFR) 一直很高,而喀拉拉邦和阿萨姆邦则非常低。为了调查各州 CFR 之间的差异,收集了与人口统计学、社会经济、公共卫生和医疗保健能力相关的各种因素的数据集,以研究它们与 CFR 的关联。

方法

截至 2021 年 4 月 22 日,收集了各州的 COVID-19 数据。从可靠来源收集了有关各种因素的最新数据。使用 Pearson 相关性、双尾 P 检验、Spearman 秩相关和人工神经网络 (ANN) 结构来评估各种因素与 CFR 之间的关联。

结果

预期寿命、超重患病率、COVID-19 检测阳性率和 H1N1 死亡率与 CFR 呈显著正相关。人类发展指数、人均国内生产总值、公共事务指数、人均卫生支出、政府医生和病床的可用性、某些疾病的患病率以及糖尿病和高血压等合并症与 CFR 无显著关联。性别比、卫生支出占 GSDP 的百分比和政府医院的可用性与 CFR 呈显著负相关。

结论

该研究表明,老年人、年轻男性和超重人群感染 COVID-19 的死亡风险更高。某些疾病和常见合并症如糖尿病和高血压似乎对 CFR 没有任何显著影响。COVID-19 检测率、卫生支出和医疗保健能力较好的州在 COVID-19 死亡率方面表现更好。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03f7/8110283/1c3f3c4270a2/gr4_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03f7/8110283/bba3ab116f89/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03f7/8110283/cf4249e3b1d8/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03f7/8110283/f5050f84423c/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03f7/8110283/1c3f3c4270a2/gr4_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03f7/8110283/bba3ab116f89/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03f7/8110283/cf4249e3b1d8/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03f7/8110283/f5050f84423c/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/03f7/8110283/1c3f3c4270a2/gr4_lrg.jpg

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