Kid Risk Inc., Orlando, FL, USA.
Risk Anal. 2021 Feb;41(2):223-228. doi: 10.1111/risa.13668.
This introduction for the third special issue on modeling poliovirus risks provides context for the current status of global polio eradication efforts and gives an overview of the individual papers included in the issue. Although risk analysis continues to support the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI), efforts to finish the job remained off track at the beginning of 2020 and prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, as discussed in the special issue. The disruptions associated with COVID-19 occurring now will inevitably change the polio eradication trajectory, and future studies will need to characterize the impacts of these disruptions on the polio endgame.
这篇关于建模脊髓灰质炎病毒风险的第三期特刊导言,为全球消灭脊髓灰质炎工作的当前状况提供了背景,并概述了该期特刊中包含的各个论文。正如特刊中所讨论的,尽管风险分析继续支持全球消灭脊髓灰质炎倡议(GPEI),但在 2020 年初和 COVID-19 大流行之前,消灭脊髓灰质炎的工作仍偏离轨道。现在与 COVID-19 相关的干扰不可避免地会改变脊髓灰质炎根除轨迹,未来的研究将需要描述这些干扰对脊髓灰质炎终局的影响。