Kulu Hill, Mikolai Júlia, Thomas Michael J, Vidal Sergi, Schnor Christine, Willaert Didier, Visser Fieke H L, Mulder Clara H
University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.
Population Research Centre, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Eur J Popul. 2020 May 29;37(1):121-150. doi: 10.1007/s10680-020-09561-1. eCollection 2021 Mar.
This study investigates the magnitude and persistence of elevated post-separation residential mobility (i.e. residential instability) in five countries (Australia, Belgium, Germany, the Netherlands, and the UK) with similar levels of economic development, but different welfare provisions and housing markets. While many studies examine residential changes related to separation in selected individual countries, only very few have compared patterns across countries. Using longitudinal data and applying Poisson regression models, we study the risk of a move of separated men and women compared with cohabiting and married individuals. We use time since separation to distinguish between moves due to separation and moves of separated individuals. Our analysis shows that separated men and women are significantly more likely to move than cohabiting and married individuals. The risk of a residential change is the highest shortly after separation, and it decreases with duration since separation. However, the magnitude of this decline varies by country. In Belgium, mobility rates remain elevated for a long period after separation, whereas in the Netherlands, post-separation residential instability appears brief, with mobility rates declining rapidly. The results suggest that housing markets are likely to shape the residential mobility of separated individuals. In countries, where mortgages are easy to access and affordable rental properties are widespread, separated individuals can rapidly adjust their housing to new family circumstances; in contrast, in countries with limited access to homeownership and small social rental markets, separated individuals experience a prolonged period of residential instability.
本研究调查了五个经济发展水平相似,但福利制度和住房市场不同的国家(澳大利亚、比利时、德国、荷兰和英国)分居后居住流动性升高(即居住不稳定)的程度和持续性。虽然许多研究考察了特定个别国家中与分居相关的居住变化,但只有极少数研究对不同国家的模式进行了比较。我们使用纵向数据并应用泊松回归模型,研究分居男性和女性与同居及已婚个体相比搬家的风险。我们用分居后的时间来区分因分居导致的搬家和分居个体的其他搬家情况。我们的分析表明,分居的男性和女性比同居及已婚个体更有可能搬家。居住变化的风险在分居后不久最高,并且会随着分居时间的延长而降低。然而,这种下降的幅度因国家而异。在比利时,分居后的很长一段时间内流动率都居高不下,而在荷兰,分居后的居住不稳定似乎很短暂,流动率迅速下降。结果表明,住房市场可能会影响分居个体的居住流动性。在抵押贷款容易获得且经济适用房广泛存在的国家,分居个体可以迅速根据新的家庭情况调整住房;相反,在获得自有住房机会有限且社会租赁市场较小的国家,分居个体经历的居住不稳定期会更长。