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离婚、分居与住房变动:来自英国和威尔士的纵向数据的多进程分析。

Divorce, Separation, and Housing Changes: A Multiprocess Analysis of Longitudinal Data from England and Wales.

机构信息

School of Geography and Sustainable Development, University of St Andrews, Irvine Building, St Andrews, KY16 9AL, UK.

出版信息

Demography. 2018 Feb;55(1):83-106. doi: 10.1007/s13524-017-0640-9.

DOI:10.1007/s13524-017-0640-9
PMID:29322403
Abstract

This study investigates the effect of marital and nonmarital separation on individuals' residential and housing trajectories. Using rich data from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) and applying multilevel competing-risks event history models, we analyze the risk of a move of single, married, cohabiting, and separated men and women to different housing types. We distinguish moves due to separation from moves of separated people and account for unobserved codeterminants of moving and separation risks. Our analysis shows that many individuals move due to separation, as expected, but that the likelihood of moving is also relatively high among separated individuals. We find that separation has a long-term effect on individuals' residential careers. Separated women exhibit high moving risks regardless of whether they moved out of the joint home upon separation, whereas separated men who did not move out upon separation are less likely to move. Interestingly, separated women are most likely to move to terraced houses, whereas separated men are equally likely to move to flats (apartments) and terraced (row) houses, suggesting that family structure shapes moving patterns of separated individuals.

摘要

本研究调查了婚姻和非婚姻分居对个人居住和住房轨迹的影响。利用来自英国家庭面板调查(BHPS)的丰富数据,并应用多层次竞争风险事件历史模型,我们分析了单身、已婚、同居和分居的男性和女性转向不同住房类型的风险。我们区分了由于分居而导致的搬迁和分居人员的搬迁,并考虑了搬迁和分居风险的未观察到的共同决定因素。我们的分析表明,许多人如预期的那样因分居而搬迁,但分居人员搬迁的可能性也相对较高。我们发现,分居对个人的居住生涯有长期影响。分居妇女无论是否在分居时搬出共同住所,其搬迁风险都很高,而分居时未搬出的分居男子搬迁的可能性较小。有趣的是,分居妇女最有可能搬到排屋,而分居男子搬到公寓(apartment)和排屋(row)的可能性相同,这表明家庭结构塑造了分居人员的搬迁模式。

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