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赌博谬论:在全国样本中预测问题赌博。

Gambling fallacies: Predicting problem gambling in a national sample.

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Lethbridge.

Department of Psychology, University of Calgary.

出版信息

Psychol Addict Behav. 2021 Dec;35(8):939-947. doi: 10.1037/adb0000673. Epub 2021 Feb 18.

DOI:10.1037/adb0000673
PMID:33600198
Abstract

The relationship between the level of gambling fallacy endorsement and type of gambler (nongambler, recreational gambler, at-risk gambler, and problem/pathological gambler) was assessed both concurrently and prospectively in a large national cohort of Canadian adults. This cohort ( = 10,199 at baseline; 18-24 years, = 481, 43% female; 25-34 years, = 1,335, 62% female; 35-44 years, = 1,543, 55% female, 45-54 years, = 1,985, 58% female; 55-64 years, = 2,459, 55% female; 65-74 years, = 1,865, 44% female, 75+ years, = 531, 43% female) was recruited from LEO, Leger Opinion's registered online panelists. The follow-up survey was completed by 55.9% of the cohort, 1 year after baseline. The full survey can be viewed at https://www.ucalgary.ca/research/national-gambling-study/. For the current study, scores on the Gambling Fallacies Measure, the Problem and Pathological Gambling Measure, Gambling Participation Instrument, and Impulsivity were analyzed. There were three main findings. The first is that gambling fallacies are common in all categories of gamblers but somewhat more prevalent in problem and pathological gamblers. Second, the multivariate analysis determined that gambling fallacies are significant concurrent and prospective predictors of the problem/pathological gambling category, but not strong predictors relative to other variables. Third, problem gambling and heavier gambling involvement are also predictors of a future higher level of gambling fallacies. Collectively, these results show that gambling fallacies have some etiological relationship to problem gambling but are not the main cause of problem gambling and should not be the exclusive focus of problem gambling treatment. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).

摘要

在一个大型的加拿大成年人全国队列中,评估了赌博谬论认可水平与赌徒类型(非赌徒、娱乐性赌徒、有风险的赌徒和问题/病理性赌徒)之间的关系,评估结果既有同期也有前瞻性。该队列(基线时为 10199 人;18-24 岁,481 人,43%为女性;25-34 岁,1335 人,62%为女性;35-44 岁,1543 人,55%为女性;45-54 岁,1985 人,58%为女性;55-64 岁,2459 人,55%为女性;65-74 岁,1865 人,44%为女性;75 岁及以上,531 人,43%为女性)是从 LEO(Leger Opinion 的注册在线小组)招募的。基线后 1 年,55.9%的队列完成了随访调查。完整的调查可在 https://www.ucalgary.ca/research/national-gambling-study/ 查看。在本研究中,分析了赌博谬论衡量标准、问题和病理性赌博衡量标准、赌博参与工具和冲动性的分数。主要有三个发现。第一个发现是,赌博谬论在所有类别的赌徒中都很常见,但在问题和病理性赌徒中更为普遍。第二个发现是,多元分析确定,赌博谬论是问题/病理性赌博类别的重要同期和前瞻性预测指标,但相对于其他变量,预测力并不强。第三个发现是,问题赌博和更频繁的赌博参与也是未来更高水平赌博谬论的预测指标。总的来说,这些结果表明,赌博谬论与问题赌博有一定的病因关系,但不是问题赌博的主要原因,也不应成为问题赌博治疗的唯一重点。(PsycInfo 数据库记录(c)2021 APA,保留所有权利)。

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