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血清铁蛋白对COVID-19严重程度和死亡率预测的评估——一项横断面研究

Evaluation of serum ferritin for prediction of severity and mortality in COVID-19- A cross sectional study.

作者信息

Ahmed Sibtain, Ansar Ahmed Zeeshan, Siddiqui Imran, Haroon Rashid Naveed, Mansoor Maheen, Jafri Lena

机构信息

Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Aga Khan University. Stadium Road, P.O. Box 3500, Karachi, 74800, Pakistan.

Intensive Care Unit, Department of Medicine, Aga Khan University. Stadium Road, P.O. Box 3500, Karachi, 74800, Pakistan.

出版信息

Ann Med Surg (Lond). 2021 Mar;63:102163. doi: 10.1016/j.amsu.2021.02.009. Epub 2021 Feb 12.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Ferritin even though widely recognized as a representative of total body iron stores, its prognostic utility is linked with COVID-19. This study was aimed at evaluation of the association of ferritin with severity in Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), hospitalized patients and to test the hypothesis that it is an independent predictor of mortality.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This study was conducted at Chemical Pathology, Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Aga Khan University (AKU), Karachi. Medical records of all in-patients including both genders, and all age groups with documented COVID-19 from 1st March to 10 August 2020 were reviewed. The subjects were divided into two categories severe and non-severe COVID-19; and survivors and non-survivors. The details were recorded on a pre-structured performa. Between-group differences were tested using the Mann-Whitney's -test. The receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted for ferritin with severity and mortality. A binary logistic regression was used to identify variables independently associated with mortality. The data was analyzed using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS)

RESULTS

A total of 336 in patients were reviewed as declared COVID-19 positive during the study duration, and 157 were included in the final analysis including 108 males and 49 females. Statistically significant difference in ferritin was found in the two categories based on severity and mortality. Binary logistic regression showed ferritin to be an independent predictor of all-cause mortality supplemented with an AUC of 0.69 on ROC analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum ferritin concentration is a promising predictor of mortality in COVID-19 cases.

摘要

背景

铁蛋白尽管被广泛认为是全身铁储存的代表,但其预后效用与2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)相关。本研究旨在评估铁蛋白与2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)住院患者严重程度的关联,并检验其是死亡率独立预测指标的假设。

材料与方法

本研究在卡拉奇阿迦汗大学(AKU)病理与检验医学系化学病理学进行。回顾了2020年3月1日至8月10日期间所有记录在案的COVID-19住院患者(包括所有性别和所有年龄组)的病历。受试者分为两类:重度和非重度COVID-19;以及幸存者和非幸存者。详细信息记录在预先构建的表格上。组间差异采用曼-惠特尼检验。绘制铁蛋白与严重程度和死亡率的受试者工作特征曲线。采用二元逻辑回归确定与死亡率独立相关的变量。数据使用社会科学统计软件包(SPSS)进行分析。

结果

在研究期间,共有336名住院患者被确诊为COVID-19阳性,最终纳入分析的有157名,其中男性108名,女性49名。基于严重程度和死亡率的两类患者中铁蛋白存在统计学显著差异。二元逻辑回归显示铁蛋白是全因死亡率的独立预测指标,ROC分析中AUC为0.69。

结论

血清铁蛋白浓度是COVID-19病例死亡率的一个有前景的预测指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/28dd/7893426/71c0a9b2d6c4/gr1.jpg

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