Australian Antarctic Division, Department of Agriculture, Water and the Environment, Kingston, Tas., Australia.
Global Challenges Program, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
Glob Chang Biol. 2021 May;27(9):1692-1703. doi: 10.1111/gcb.15539. Epub 2021 Feb 25.
Globally, collapse of ecosystems-potentially irreversible change to ecosystem structure, composition and function-imperils biodiversity, human health and well-being. We examine the current state and recent trajectories of 19 ecosystems, spanning 58° of latitude across 7.7 M km , from Australia's coral reefs to terrestrial Antarctica. Pressures from global climate change and regional human impacts, occurring as chronic 'presses' and/or acute 'pulses', drive ecosystem collapse. Ecosystem responses to 5-17 pressures were categorised as four collapse profiles-abrupt, smooth, stepped and fluctuating. The manifestation of widespread ecosystem collapse is a stark warning of the necessity to take action. We present a three-step assessment and management framework (3As Pathway Awareness, Anticipation and Action) to aid strategic and effective mitigation to alleviate further degradation to help secure our future.
从全球范围来看,生态系统崩溃——即生态系统结构、组成和功能可能发生不可逆转的变化——危及生物多样性、人类健康和福祉。我们研究了跨越 770 万平方千米、从澳大利亚的珊瑚礁到南极洲陆地 58 度纬度跨度内的 19 个生态系统的现状和近期轨迹。全球气候变化和区域人类影响的压力,表现为慢性“压力”和/或急性“脉冲”,正在推动生态系统崩溃。我们将生态系统对 5-17 种压力的反应分为四种崩溃模式——突然、平稳、阶梯和波动。广泛的生态系统崩溃的表现是采取行动的必要性的严峻警告。我们提出了一个三步评估和管理框架(3A 途径——意识、预期和行动),以帮助进行战略性和有效的缓解,以减轻进一步的退化,帮助确保我们的未来。