Department of Neurosurgery, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.; Graduate School of Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Department of Interventional Neuroradiology, Beijing Neurosurgical Institute and Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.; Department of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis. 2021 May;30(5):105643. doi: 10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2021.105643. Epub 2021 Feb 23.
This study sought to assess whether the Population, Hypertension, Age, Size, Earlier Subarachnoid Hemorrhage, Site (PHASES) score can do risk stratification of patients with multiple aneurysms (MIAs).
Patients between January 1, 2016 and January 1, 2019 were recruited retrospectively. The PHASES score was applied to assess the theoretical risk of IA rupture. For patients-level analyses, four modes of the application of the score were used: largest IA PHASES score, highest PHASES score, sum PHASES score, and mean PHASES score.
A total of 701 patients with 1673 IAs were included in this study. At aneurysm-level analysis, the average PHASES score was 3.0 ± 3.0 points, with 2.8 ± 3.0 points and 4.1 ± 2.9 points in the unruptured and ruptured groups, respectively (p < 0.001). At the patient-level analysis, for the largest IA PHASES score, the areas under the curves (AUC) was 0.572. The discrimination performance of the largest IA PHASES score decreases as IA number increases, with AUCs were 0.597, 0.518, and 0.450 in the 2 IAs, 3 IAs and, 4 or more IAs subgroups, respectively. For highest PHASES score, sum PHASES score, and mean PHASES score, the AUCs were 0.577, 0.599, and 0.619, respectively.
In this study, PHASES score only serve as a weak tool in decision-making settings for MIAs patients; as such, more accurate models should be developed for MIAs patients and the cumulative effect of MIA may should be considered.
本研究旨在评估人口、高血压、年龄、大小、先前的蛛网膜下腔出血、部位(PHASES)评分是否可对多发动脉瘤(MIAs)患者进行风险分层。
回顾性招募了 2016 年 1 月 1 日至 2019 年 1 月 1 日期间的患者。应用 PHASES 评分评估颅内动脉瘤破裂的理论风险。对于患者水平分析,应用了 PHASES 评分的四种模式:最大颅内动脉瘤 PHASES 评分、最高 PHASES 评分、总分 PHASES 评分和平均 PHASES 评分。
本研究共纳入了 701 例患者的 1673 个颅内动脉瘤。在动脉瘤水平分析中,平均 PHASES 评分为 3.0±3.0 分,未破裂组和破裂组分别为 2.8±3.0 分和 4.1±2.9 分(p<0.001)。在患者水平分析中,对于最大颅内动脉瘤 PHASES 评分,曲线下面积(AUC)为 0.572。最大颅内动脉瘤 PHASES 评分的鉴别性能随着颅内动脉瘤数量的增加而降低,在 2 个颅内动脉瘤、3 个颅内动脉瘤和 4 个或更多颅内动脉瘤亚组中,AUC 分别为 0.597、0.518 和 0.450。对于最高 PHASES 评分、总分 PHASES 评分和平均 PHASES 评分,AUC 分别为 0.577、0.599 和 0.619。
在本研究中,PHASES 评分仅作为 MIAs 患者决策制定中的一种弱工具;因此,应针对 MIAs 患者开发更准确的模型,并应考虑 MIAs 的累积效应。