Collivignarelli Maria Cristina, Abbà Alessandro, Caccamo Francesca Maria, Bertanza Giorgio, Pedrazzani Roberta, Baldi Marco, Ricciardi Paola, Carnevale Miino Marco
Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, University of Pavia, via Ferrata 3, 27100, Pavia, Italy.
Interdepartmental Centre for Water Research, University of Pavia, via Ferrata 3, 27100, Pavia, Italy.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Feb 26;28(25):33120-32. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-12735-x.
Northern Italy was the most affected by CoViD-19 compared to other Italian areas and comprises zones where air pollutants concentration was higher than in the rest of Italy. The aim of the research is to determine if particulate matter (PM) has been the primary cause of the high CoViD-19 spread rapidity in some areas of Northern Italy. Data of PM for all the 41 studied cities were collected from the local environmental protection agencies. To compare air quality data with epidemiological data, a statistical analysis was conducted identifying the correlation matrices of Pearson and Spearman, considering also the possible incubation period of the disease. Moreover, a model for the evaluation of the epidemic risk, already proposed in literature, was used to evaluate a possible influence of PM on CoViD-19 spread rapidity. The results exclude that PM alone was the primary cause of the high CoVid-19 spread rapidity in some areas of Northern Italy. Further developments are necessary for a better comprehension of the influence of atmospheric pollution parameters on the rapidity of spread of the virus SARS-CoV-2, since a synergistic action with other factors (such as meteorological, socio-economic and cultural factors) could not be excluded by the present study.
与意大利其他地区相比,意大利北部受新冠疫情影响最为严重,且其部分区域的空气污染物浓度高于意大利其他地区。本研究的目的是确定颗粒物(PM)是否是意大利北部某些地区新冠疫情传播速度较快的主要原因。从当地环境保护机构收集了所有41个研究城市的PM数据。为了将空气质量数据与流行病学数据进行比较,进行了统计分析,确定了Pearson和Spearman相关矩阵,同时还考虑了疾病可能的潜伏期。此外,采用文献中已提出的一种流行病风险评估模型,来评估PM对新冠疫情传播速度的可能影响。结果排除了PM单独作为意大利北部某些地区新冠疫情传播速度较快的主要原因。由于本研究无法排除与其他因素(如气象、社会经济和文化因素)的协同作用,因此有必要进一步开展研究,以更好地理解大气污染参数对病毒SARS-CoV-2传播速度的影响。