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出口构成对环境和能源需求的影响:来自新兴工业化国家的证据。

The impact of export composition on environment and energy demand: evidence from newly industrialized countries.

作者信息

Can Muhlis, Ahmad Munir, Khan Zeeshan

机构信息

BETA Akademi, Social Sciences Research Lab (SSR Lab), Isparta, Turkey.

School of Economics, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310058, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Feb 28. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-13084-5.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-021-13084-5
PMID:33641070
Abstract

Since the exports' nature and the productive capabilities of economies and regions play an essential role in driving the energy demand and carbon dioxide (CO) emissions, the modern literature focuses on the importance of export composition in determining the environmental quality. For this purpose, this study aims to test the composition impact of the trade by using export product diversification, extensive margin, and intensive margin on energy use and environment in a case study for the ten newly industrialized countries (NICs) from 1970 to 2014. Additionally, this study employs some other indicators such as income, urbanization, and economic complexity during our investigations. The obtained results from different panel estimations demonstrate that not only the composition of export products but also the income, urbanization, and economic complexity promote energy use and CO emissions. The panel causality results revealed a bidirectional linkage between overall diversification and CO emissions, and the intensive margin and CO emissions. In contrast, a unidirectional causality ran from CO emissions to the extensive margin. Energy consumption presented a bidirectional causality with the overall diversification, intensive margin, economic complexity, and urbanization. Finally, a unidirectional causality is observed from energy consumption to the extensive margin. Based on findings, applicable policies are discussed.

摘要

由于出口的性质以及经济体和地区的生产能力在推动能源需求和二氧化碳(CO)排放方面起着至关重要的作用,现代文献关注出口构成在决定环境质量方面的重要性。为此,本研究旨在通过对1970年至2014年十个新兴工业化国家(NICs)的案例研究,利用出口产品多样化、广度边际和深度边际来检验贸易构成对能源使用和环境的影响。此外,本研究在调查过程中还采用了一些其他指标,如收入、城市化和经济复杂度。不同面板估计的结果表明,不仅出口产品的构成,而且收入、城市化和经济复杂度都会促进能源使用和CO排放。面板因果关系结果显示,总体多样化与CO排放之间以及深度边际与CO排放之间存在双向联系。相比之下,存在从CO排放到广度边际的单向因果关系。能源消耗与总体多样化、深度边际、经济复杂度和城市化之间呈现双向因果关系。最后,观察到从能源消耗到广度边际的单向因果关系。基于研究结果,讨论了适用的政策。

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