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2020 年 5 月至 7 月葡萄牙 SARS-CoV-2 感染的血清阳性率:首次全国血清学调查(ISNCOVID-19)的结果。

Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Portugal in May-July 2020: Results of the First National Serological Survey (ISNCOVID-19).

机构信息

Departamento de Epidemiologia. Instituto Nacional de Saúde Doutor Ricardo Jorge. Lisboa. Portugal.

Departamento de Doenças Infeciosas. Instituto Nacional de Saúde Doutor Ricardo Jorge. Lisboa. Portugal.

出版信息

Acta Med Port. 2021 Feb 1;34(2):87-94. doi: 10.20344/amp.15122.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to estimate and describe the prevalence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) specific antibodies (immunoglobulin M and/or immunoglobulin G) in Portugal in May-July 2020.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A cross-sectional seroepidemiological survey was developed after the peak of the first epidemic wave on a sample of 2301 Portuguese residents, aged 1 year or older. Survey sample was selected using a two-stage stratified non-probability sampling design (quota sampling). SARS-CoV-2 immunoglobulin M and immunoglobulin G antibodies were measured in serum samples by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Seroprevalence estimates of immunoglobulin M and/or immunoglobulin G and 95% confidence intervals were stratified by sex, age group, health region and education.

RESULTS

Overall, seroprevalence was 2.9% (95% confidence interval: 2.0% - 4.2%). Higher prevalence rates were observed in male (4.1%, 95% confidence interval: 2.6% - 6.6%) and those with secondary education (6.4%, 95% confidence interval: 3.2% - 12.5%). Differences in seroprevalence by age group and region were not statistically significant.

DISCUSSION

The estimated seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 was higher than the cumulative incidence reported by the National Surveillance System but far from necessary to reach herd immunity.

CONCLUSION

Our results support limited extent of infection by SARS-CoV-2 in the study population possibly due to early lockdown measures implemented in Portugal and support the need to continue monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in order to increase our knowledge about the evolution of the epidemic and to estimate the proportion of the susceptible population over time.

摘要

简介

本研究旨在估计和描述 2020 年 5 月至 7 月葡萄牙严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)特异性抗体(免疫球蛋白 M 和/或免疫球蛋白 G)的流行情况。

材料和方法

在第一次疫情高峰过后,对 2301 名年龄在 1 岁及以上的葡萄牙居民进行了横断面血清流行病学调查。使用两阶段分层非概率抽样设计(配额抽样)选择调查样本。通过酶联免疫吸附试验测量血清样本中的 SARS-CoV-2 免疫球蛋白 M 和免疫球蛋白 G 抗体。对免疫球蛋白 M 和/或免疫球蛋白 G 的血清阳性率估计值及其 95%置信区间按性别、年龄组、卫生区和教育程度进行分层。

结果

总体而言,血清阳性率为 2.9%(95%置信区间:2.0%-4.2%)。男性(4.1%,95%置信区间:2.6%-6.6%)和接受过中等教育(6.4%,95%置信区间:3.2%-12.5%)的人群观察到更高的阳性率。按年龄组和地区划分的血清阳性率差异无统计学意义。

讨论

估计的 SARS-CoV-2 血清阳性率高于国家监测系统报告的累计发病率,但远未达到群体免疫所需的水平。

结论

我们的结果支持 SARS-CoV-2 在研究人群中的感染程度有限,这可能是由于葡萄牙早期实施的封锁措施,支持继续监测 SARS-CoV-2 的血清阳性率,以增加我们对疫情演变的了解,并估计随时间推移易感人群的比例。

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