Chen Yang, Rathod Krishnaraj S, Hamshere Stephen, Choudry Fizzah, Akhtar Mohammed M, Curtis Miles, Amersey Rajiv, Guttmann Oliver, O'Mahony Constantinos, Jain Ajay, Wragg Andrew, Baumbach Andreas, Mathur Anthony, Jones Daniel A
Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, UK.
St Bartholomew's Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, London, UK.
Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc. 2021 Apr;33:100736. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcha.2021.100736. Epub 2021 Feb 23.
The international healthcare response to COVID-19 has been driven by epidemiological data related to case numbers and case fatality rate. Second order effects have been less well studied. This study aimed to characterise the changes in emergency activity of a high-volume cardiac catheterisation centre and to cautiously model any excess indirect morbidity and mortality.
Retrospective cohort study of patients admitted with acute coronary syndrome fulfilling criteria for the heart attack centre (HAC) pathway at St. Bartholomew's hospital, UK. Electronic data were collected for the study period March 16th - May 16th 2020 inclusive and stored on a dedicated research server. Standard governance procedures were observed in line with the British Cardiovascular Intervention Society audit.
There was a 28% fall in the number of primary percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs) for ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) during the study period (111 vs. 154) and 36% fewer activations of the HAC pathway (312 vs. 485), compared to the same time period averaged across three preceding years. In the context of 'missing STEMIs', the excess harm attributable to COVID-19 could result in an absolute increase of 1.3% in mortality, 1.9% in nonfatal MI and 4.5% in recurrent ischemia.
The emergency activity of a high-volume PCI centre was significantly reduced for STEMI during the peak of the first wave of COVID-19. Our data can be used as an exemplar to help future modelling within cardiovascular workstreams to refine aggregate estimates of the impact of COVID-19 and inform targeted policy action.
国际社会对新冠疫情的医疗应对措施是由与病例数量和病死率相关的流行病学数据驱动的。对二阶效应的研究较少。本研究旨在描述一家高容量心脏导管插入术中心的急诊活动变化,并谨慎模拟任何额外的间接发病率和死亡率。
对英国圣巴塞洛缪医院符合心脏病发作中心(HAC)路径标准的急性冠状动脉综合征患者进行回顾性队列研究。收集了2020年3月16日至5月16日(含)研究期间的电子数据,并存储在专用研究服务器上。按照英国心血管介入学会的审计标准,遵循了标准的管理程序。
与前三年同期的平均水平相比,研究期间ST段抬高型心肌梗死(STEMI)的直接经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)数量下降了28%(111例对154例),HAC路径的启动次数减少了36%(312次对485次)。在“漏诊STEMI”的情况下,新冠疫情造成的额外危害可能导致死亡率绝对上升1.3%,非致命性心肌梗死上升1.9%,再发缺血上升4.5%。
在新冠疫情第一波高峰期,一家高容量PCI中心针对STEMI的急诊活动显著减少。我们的数据可作为一个范例,帮助未来在心血管工作流程中进行建模,以完善对新冠疫情影响的总体估计,并为有针对性的政策行动提供参考。