Thibaud Vincent, Denève Laurence, Dubruille Stéphanie, Kenis Cindy, Delforge Michel, Cattenoz Catherine, Somme Dominique, Wildiers Hans, Pepersack Thierry, Lamy Thierry, Bron Dominique
Department of Hematology, Institut Jules Bordet, ULB, Brussels, Belgium; Department of Hematology, CHU, Rennes, France; Department of Geriatry, CHU, Rennes, France.
Department of Hematology, Institut Jules Bordet, ULB, Brussels, Belgium; Clinic of Psycho-Oncology, Institut Jules Bordet, ULB, Brussels, Belgium.
J Geriatr Oncol. 2021 Jul;12(6):902-908. doi: 10.1016/j.jgo.2021.02.019. Epub 2021 Feb 27.
This study aims to develop and validate a simple score to estimate survival in the older population suffering from malignant hemopathies.
We prospectively recruited 285 patients, aged ≥65 years, admitted to receive chemotherapy. At inclusion, a geriatric assessment was performed. Cox proportional hazards models were performed to assess correlations between vulnerabilities and one-year survival. We developed a frailty score, HEMA-4, based on the most powerful prognostic factors. It was externally confirmed with an independent cohort.
In the development cohort, 206 patients were evaluable. Mean age was 76 years (range 65-90). The HEMA-4 score was created based on four independent predictive factors for survival: cognitive impairment (MMSE<27), comorbidities (≥2 on Charlson comorbidity index), CRP (≥10 mg/L) and low albumin level (<35 g/L). The population was stratified into three groups: good prognosis (score = 0-1, n = 141), intermediate prognosis (score = 2, n = 37) and poor prognosis (score = 3-4, n = 28). Their respective one-year survival was 74%, 51% (HR = 2.30; 95% CI =1.31-4.05; p < 0.01) and 36% (HR = 3.95; 95% CI =2.23-6.98; p < 0.01). In the validation cohort (n = 25), the one-year survival was 78% in the good prognosis group (n = 9) and 50% in the intermediate prognosis group (n = 6). The poor prognosis group had a median survival of four months in the development cohort and six months in the validation cohort (n = 10).
The HEMA-4 score is a simple score that combines cognitive impairment, comorbidities, inflammation and low albumin level. Our data suggest that it predicts survival among older patients suffering from malignant hemopathies referred to receive chemotherapy regardless of their chronological age.
本研究旨在开发并验证一种简单评分方法,用于评估老年恶性血液病患者的生存率。
我们前瞻性招募了285名年龄≥65岁且接受化疗的患者。纳入时进行了老年综合评估。采用Cox比例风险模型评估脆弱性与一年生存率之间的相关性。我们基于最有力的预后因素开发了一种虚弱评分,即HEMA-4,并在一个独立队列中进行了外部验证。
在开发队列中,206例患者可评估。平均年龄为76岁(范围65-90岁)。HEMA-4评分基于四个独立的生存预测因素创建:认知障碍(MMSE<27)、合并症(Charlson合并症指数≥2)、CRP(≥10mg/L)和低白蛋白水平(<35g/L)。患者被分为三组:预后良好(评分=0-1,n=141)、预后中等(评分=2,n=37)和预后不良(评分=3-4,n=28)。他们各自的一年生存率分别为74%、51%(HR=2.30;95%CI=1.31-4.05;p<0.01)和36%(HR=3.95;95%CI=2.23-6.98;p<0.01)。在验证队列(n=25)中,预后良好组(n=9)的一年生存率为78%,预后中等组(n=6)为50%。预后不良组在开发队列中的中位生存期为4个月,在验证队列中为6个月(n=10)。
HEMA-4评分是一种简单的评分,综合了认知障碍、合并症、炎症和低白蛋白水平。我们的数据表明,无论实际年龄如何,它都能预测接受化疗的老年恶性血液病患者的生存率。