Institute of Medical Intelligence, School of Computer and Information Technology, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, P. R. China.
College of Information Engineering, Hubei University of Chinese Medicine, Wuhan 430065, P. R. China.
Am J Chin Med. 2021;49(3):543-575. doi: 10.1142/S0192415X21500257. Epub 2021 Mar 5.
Chinese medicine (CM) was extensively used to treat COVID-19 in China. We aimed to evaluate the real-world effectiveness of add-on semi-individualized CM during the outbreak. A retrospective cohort of 1788 adult confirmed COVID-19 patients were recruited from 2235 consecutive linked records retrieved from five hospitals in Wuhan during 15 January to 13 March 2020. The mortality of add-on semi-individualized CM users and non-users was compared by inverse probability weighted hazard ratio (HR) and by propensity score matching. Change of biomarkers was compared between groups, and the frequency of CMs used was analyzed. Subgroup analysis was performed to stratify disease severity and dose of CM exposure. The crude mortality was 3.8% in the semi-individualized CM user group and 17.0% among the non-users. Add-on CM was associated with a mortality reduction of 58% (HR = 0.42, 95% CI: 0.23 to 0.77, [Formula: see text] = 0.005) among all COVID-19 cases and 66% (HR = 0.34, 95% CI: 0.15 to 0.76, [Formula: see text] = 0.009) among severe/critical COVID-19 cases demonstrating dose-dependent response, after inversely weighted with propensity score. The result was robust in various stratified, weighted, matched, adjusted and sensitivity analyses. Severe/critical patients that received add-on CM had a trend of stabilized D-dimer level after 3-7 days of admission when compared to baseline. Immunomodulating and anti-asthmatic CMs were most used. Add-on semi-individualized CM was associated with significantly reduced mortality, especially among severe/critical cases. Chinese medicine could be considered as an add-on regimen for trial use.
中药(CM)在中国被广泛用于治疗 COVID-19。我们旨在评估在疫情期间添加半个体化 CM 的真实疗效。从 2020 年 1 月 15 日至 3 月 13 日,从武汉的五家医院连续检索到的 2235 份连续记录中,招募了 1788 名成年确诊 COVID-19 患者的回顾性队列。通过逆概率加权风险比(HR)和倾向评分匹配比较了添加半个体化 CM 使用者和非使用者的死亡率。比较了两组之间生物标志物的变化,并分析了 CM 的使用频率。进行了亚组分析以分层疾病严重程度和 CM 暴露剂量。半个体化 CM 用户组的粗死亡率为 3.8%,而非使用者组的死亡率为 17.0%。添加 CM 与所有 COVID-19 病例死亡率降低 58%(HR = 0.42,95%CI:0.23 至 0.77,[Formula: see text] = 0.005)和严重/危重症 COVID-19 病例死亡率降低 66%(HR = 0.34,95%CI:0.15 至 0.76,[Formula: see text] = 0.009)相关,经过倾向评分逆加权后。在各种分层、加权、匹配、调整和敏感性分析中,结果都是稳健的。与基线相比,接受添加 CM 的严重/危重症患者在入院后 3-7 天内 D-二聚体水平趋于稳定。免疫调节和抗哮喘 CM 是最常用的。添加半个体化 CM 与死亡率显著降低相关,尤其是在严重/危重症患者中。中药可被视为一种附加治疗方案进行试用。