Department of Public Health Sciences, Clemson University, Clemson, SC, USA.
Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Biometrics. 2022 Jun;78(2):460-473. doi: 10.1111/biom.13451. Epub 2021 Mar 22.
Truncation is a statistical phenomenon that occurs in many time-to-event studies. For example, autopsy-confirmed studies of neurodegenerative diseases are subject to an inherent left and right truncation, also known as double truncation. When the goal is to study the effect of risk factors on survival, the standard Cox regression model cannot be used when the survival time is subject to truncation. Existing methods that adjust for both left and right truncation in the Cox regression model require independence between the survival times and truncation times, which may not be a reasonable assumption in practice. We propose an expectation-maximization algorithm to relax the independence assumption in the Cox regression model under left, right, or double truncation to an assumption of conditional independence on the observed covariates. The resulting regression coefficient estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. We demonstrate through extensive simulations that the proposed estimator has little bias and has a similar or lower mean-squared error compared to existing estimators. We implement our approach to assess the effect of occupation on survival in subjects with autopsy-confirmed Alzheimer's disease.
截尾是许多生存时间研究中出现的一种统计现象。例如,通过尸检确认的神经退行性疾病研究受到固有左截尾和右截尾的影响,也称为双重截尾。当研究目的是研究危险因素对生存的影响时,当生存时间受到截尾时,不能使用标准的 Cox 回归模型。Cox 回归模型中调整左截尾和右截尾的现有方法要求生存时间和截尾时间之间相互独立,但在实际中这可能不是一个合理的假设。我们提出了一种期望最大化算法,以放宽 Cox 回归模型在左截尾、右截尾或双重截尾下的独立性假设,将其假设为观察协变量的条件独立性。由此得到的回归系数估计量是一致的且渐近正态的。我们通过广泛的模拟证明,与现有估计量相比,所提出的估计量具有较小的偏差,且均方误差相似或更低。我们实施了这种方法来评估职业对尸检确诊的阿尔茨海默病患者生存的影响。