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在一个湿润的亚热带地区,相对湿度与 A 型和 B 型流感之间呈相反关系。

The contrasting relationships of relative humidity with influenza A and B in a humid subtropical region.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, 230032, Anhui, China.

Inflammation and Immune Mediated Diseases Laboratory of Anhui Province, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Jul;28(27):36828-36836. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-13107-1. Epub 2021 Mar 12.

Abstract

Influenza is an acute respiratory disease that seriously threatens public health. The occurrence of influenza has been proved to be related to a variety of meteorological factors. However, less attention has been paid to the effect of relative humidity (RH) on different types of influenza, especially in subtropical regions. Daily data on laboratory-confirmed influenza cases, weather variables, and air pollutants in Hefei covering the 2014-2019 period were collected. The seasonality and trend of daily influenza cases were explored by the time series seasonal decomposition method. Generalized linear model was fitted in conjunction with distributed lag nonlinear model to quantify the associations of RH with influenza A and influenza B. Subgroup analyses were conducted by sex, age (0-4, 5-17, and ≥18 years), and season (cold and warm seasons). A total of 5238 influenza cases including 2847 influenza A cases and 2391 influenza B cases were recorded. The epidemic of influenza presented a distinct seasonal pattern, and the number of daily influenza cases increased steadily since 2016. High RH was related to an increased risk of influenza A (maximum RR = 1.683, 95%CI: 1.365-2.076), especially among males, females, and school-age children. Low RH was associated with an increased risk of influenza B (maximum RR = 1.252, 95%CI: 1.169-1.340). The contrasting relationships of RH with influenza A and B remained significant in cold seasons. High RH and low RH were significantly associated with the increased risk of influenza A and B, respectively. The findings of our study may provide clues for proposing new effective interventions.

摘要

流感是一种严重威胁公众健康的急性呼吸道疾病。流感的发生已被证明与多种气象因素有关。然而,人们对相对湿度(RH)对不同类型流感的影响关注较少,特别是在亚热带地区。收集了 2014-2019 年期间合肥市实验室确诊流感病例、气象变量和空气污染物的日数据。通过时间序列季节性分解方法探讨了每日流感病例的季节性和趋势。结合广义线性模型和分布式滞后非线性模型,定量评估了 RH 与甲型和乙型流感之间的关联。通过性别、年龄(0-4 岁、5-17 岁和≥18 岁)和季节(冷季和暖季)进行了亚组分析。共记录了 5238 例流感病例,其中 2847 例为甲型流感病例,2391 例为乙型流感病例。流感的流行呈明显的季节性模式,自 2016 年以来,每日流感病例数稳步增加。高 RH 与甲型流感的风险增加有关(最大 RR=1.683,95%CI:1.365-2.076),尤其是男性、女性和学龄儿童。低 RH 与乙型流感的风险增加有关(最大 RR=1.252,95%CI:1.169-1.340)。RH 与甲型和乙型流感之间的这种相反关系在冷季仍然显著。高 RH 和低 RH 分别与甲型和乙型流感的风险增加显著相关。我们的研究结果可能为提出新的有效干预措施提供线索。

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