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临床放射组学列线图可为自发性脑出血患者提供个性化的 90 天功能预后评估。

A clinical-radiomics nomogram may provide a personalized 90-day functional outcome assessment for spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.

机构信息

Department of Radiology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, No. 76 Linjiang Road, Yuzhong District, Chongqing, China.

Department of Radiology, Chongqing General Hospital, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chongqing, China.

出版信息

Eur Radiol. 2021 Jul;31(7):4949-4959. doi: 10.1007/s00330-021-07828-7. Epub 2021 Mar 17.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a noncontrast computed tomography (NCCT)-based clinical-radiomics nomogram to identify spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) patients with a poor 90-day prognosis on admission.

METHODS

In this double-center retrospective study, data from 435 patients with sICH (training cohort: n = 244; internal validation cohort: n = 104; external validation cohort: n = 87) were reviewed. The radiomics score (Rad-score) was calculated based on the coefficients of the selected radiomics features. A clinical-radiomics nomogram was developed by using independent predictors of poor outcome at 90 days through multivariate logistic regression analysis in the training cohort and was validated in the internal and external cohorts.

RESULTS

At 90 days, 200 of 435 (46.0%) patients had a poor prognosis. The clinical-radiomics nomogram was developed by six independent predictors namely midline shift, NCCT time from sICH onset, Glasgow Coma Scale score, serum glucose, uric acid, and Rad-score. In identifying patients with poor prognosis, the clinical-radiomics nomogram showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.81 in the training cohort, an AUC of 0.78 in the internal validation cohort, and an AUC of 0.73 in the external validation cohort. The calibration curve revealed that the clinical-radiomics nomogram showed satisfactory calibration in the training and internal validation cohorts (both p > 0.05), but slightly poor agreement in the external validation cohort (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical-radiomics nomogram is a valid computer-aided tool that may provide personalized risk assessment of 90-day functional outcome for sICH patients.

KEY POINTS

• The proposed Rad-score was significantly associated with 90-day poor functional outcome in patients with sICH. • The clinical-radiomics nomogram showed satisfactory calibration and the most net benefit for discriminating 90-day poor outcome. • The clinical-radiomics nomogram may provide personalized risk assessment of 90-day functional outcome for sICH patients.

摘要

目的

建立并验证一种基于非对比计算机断层扫描(NCCT)的临床放射组学列线图,以识别入院时发生自发性脑出血(sICH)且 90 天预后不良的患者。

方法

本研究为双中心回顾性研究,纳入 435 例 sICH 患者的数据(训练队列:n=244;内部验证队列:n=104;外部验证队列:n=87)。基于选定的放射组学特征系数计算放射组学评分(Rad-score)。通过多变量逻辑回归分析在训练队列中筛选出与 90 天预后不良相关的独立预测因子,建立临床放射组学列线图,并在内部和外部队列中进行验证。

结果

在 90 天时,435 例患者中有 200 例(46.0%)预后不良。临床放射组学列线图由 6 个独立的预测因子(中线移位、sICH 发病至 NCCT 的时间、格拉斯哥昏迷量表评分、血清葡萄糖、尿酸和 Rad-score)建立。在识别预后不良的患者时,该列线图在训练队列中的受试者工作特征曲线(AUC)为 0.81,在内部验证队列中的 AUC 为 0.78,在外部验证队列中的 AUC 为 0.73。校准曲线显示,该列线图在训练和内部验证队列中具有良好的校准度(均 p>0.05),但在外部验证队列中略有差异(p<0.05)。

结论

临床放射组学列线图是一种有效的计算机辅助工具,可用于对 sICH 患者 90 天的功能结局进行个体化风险评估。

关键点

  1. 所提出的 Rad-score 与 sICH 患者 90 天不良功能结局显著相关。

  2. 临床放射组学列线图具有良好的校准度,对于鉴别 90 天不良结局的净获益最大。

  3. 临床放射组学列线图可为 sICH 患者 90 天的功能结局提供个体化风险评估。

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