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边界条件和海洋对有限区域气候模式集合大气水分平衡的影响。

Boundary condition and oceanic impacts on the atmospheric water balance in limited area climate model ensembles.

机构信息

Institute of Bio- and Geosciences (IBG-3, Agrosphere), Forschungszentrum Jülich, 52425, Jülich, Germany.

Centre for High-Performance Scientific Computing in Terrestrial Systems, Geoverbund ABC/J, 52425, Jülich, Germany.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2021 Mar 18;11(1):6228. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-85744-y.

Abstract

Regional climate models (RCMs) are indispensable in climate research, albeit often characterized by biased terrestrial precipitation and water budgets. This study identifies excess oceanic evaporation, in conjunction with the RCMs' boundary conditions, as drivers contributing to these biases in RCMs with forced sea surface temperatures in a CORDEX RCM ensemble over Europe. The RCMs are relaxed to the prescribed lateral boundary conditions originating from a global model, effectively matching the driving model's overall atmospheric moisture flux divergence. As a consequence, excess oceanic evaporation results in positive precipitation biases over land due to forced internal recycling of moisture to maintain the overall flux divergence prescribed by the boundary conditions. This systematic behaviour is shown through an analysis of long-term atmospheric water budgets and atmospheric moisture exchange between oceanic and continental areas in a multi-model ensemble.

摘要

区域气候模式(RCMs)在气候研究中不可或缺,但往往存在陆地降水和水量预算有偏差的特点。本研究确定了海洋蒸发过剩,以及 RCM 的边界条件,这是造成 CORDEX RCM 集合中强迫海表温度的 RCM 存在偏差的原因。RCM 被放宽到来自全球模式的规定侧边界条件,有效地匹配驱动模型的整体大气水汽通量散度。结果,由于强迫内部水分循环以维持边界条件规定的整体通量散度,海洋蒸发过剩导致陆地降水出现正偏差。这种系统行为通过对多模式集合中的长期大气水预算和海洋与大陆地区之间的大气水汽交换进行分析得到展示。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1d54/7973707/e2b7c891baf7/41598_2021_85744_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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