CERIS - Civil Engineering Research and Innovation for Sustainability, Instituto Superior Técnico, University of Lisbon, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1049-001 Lisbon, Portugal.
CiTUA - Center for Innovation in Territory, Urbanism, and Architecture, Instituto Superior Técnico, University of Lisbon, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1049-001 Lisbon, Portugal.
Sci Total Environ. 2021 Jul 20;779:146279. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146279. Epub 2021 Mar 8.
Investment in sanitation and drinking water infrastructure is essential for universal access to these services in developing countries. Universal coverage of water and sanitation services (WSS) can prevent the dissemination of waterborne diseases and mitigate their adverse effects. These diseases are responsible for many deaths worldwide, especially among the disadvantaged population and children. A causal effect can be established between WSS investment and hospital admissions due to waterborne diseases. Therefore, we considered an innovative network-DEA approach that models the link between serially connected subsystems (upstream investment and downstream hospitalizations). This approach allowed us: to measure the efficiency of both subsystems; estimate the amount of (efficient) investment necessary to universalize the access to proper WSS infrastructure; and mitigate hospital admissions due to waterborne diseases. We used the Brazil case study to test our model. On average, Brazilian states could increase the number of people not requiring hospitalizations due to waterborne diseases by 157 thousand per R$100 million invested in sanitation and 26 thousand per R$100 million invested in drinking water. Our results suggest that relatively small (efficient) investment in those two infrastructure types has a massive impact on hospitalizations. This impact would be more significant than the investment in WSS coverage. Therefore, if safely managed, WSS would cover all citizens, and Brazil would come closer to developed countries.
在发展中国家,投资于环境卫生和饮用水基础设施对于普及这些服务至关重要。普及供水和环境卫生服务(WSS)可以防止水传播疾病的传播,并减轻其不利影响。这些疾病在全球范围内导致了许多死亡,尤其是在弱势人群和儿童中。可以在 WSS 投资和因水传播疾病而住院之间建立因果关系。因此,我们考虑了一种创新的网络-DEA 方法,该方法可以模拟串联连接的子系统(上游投资和下游住院)之间的联系。该方法使我们能够:衡量两个子系统的效率;估计普及适当 WSS 基础设施所需的(有效)投资金额;并减轻因水传播疾病而导致的住院人数。我们使用巴西案例研究来测试我们的模型。平均而言,巴西各州每投资 1 亿雷亚尔用于环境卫生,就可以减少 15.7 万人因水传播疾病而需要住院治疗,每投资 1 亿雷亚尔用于饮用水,就可以减少 2.6 万人因水传播疾病而需要住院治疗。我们的结果表明,对这两种基础设施类型进行相对较小的(有效)投资,对住院人数的影响巨大。这种影响将比 WSS 覆盖范围的投资更为显著。因此,如果安全管理,WSS 将覆盖所有公民,巴西将更接近发达国家。