Université de Lyon, Lyon, France; Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Villeurbanne, France; Service de Biostatistique-Bioinformatique, Pôle Santé Publique, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Lyon, France; Équipe Biostatistique-Santé, Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Évolutive, CNRS UMR 5558, Villeurbanne, France.
Université de Lyon, Lyon, France; Université Officielle de Bukavu, Bukavu, Democratic Republic of Congo; Cliniques Universitaires de Bukavu, Bukavu, Democratic Republic of Congo.
Int J Infect Dis. 2021 Apr;105:716-720. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2021.03.043. Epub 2021 Mar 17.
The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in South Kivu, Democratic Republic of Congo raised concerns regarding additional morbidity and mortality. Updating these indicators before a second wave is essential in order to prepare for additional help.
From mid-May to mid-December 2020, weekly surveys were undertaken in sampled streets from 10 health areas to quantify the use of barrier measures, and interview pedestrians about sickness and deaths in their households. Crude death rates (CDRs) were estimated.
Minimal use or no use of face masks was observed in at least half of the streets. From May to December 2020, the number of suspected cases of COVID-19 increased six-fold (P < 0.05). Of deaths within 30 days preceding the interviews, 20% were considered to be related to COVID-19. The monthly CDRs at the beginning and end of the study were approximately 5 and 25 per 1000 population, respectively (P < 0.05); that is, annual CDRs of 60 and 260 per 1000 population, respectively. Thus, during the first wave, the estimated mortality rate increased by 50% compared with previous years, and increased at least four-fold by the end of 2020.
Despite possible overestimations, the excess mortality in South Kivu is extremely concerning. This crisis calls for a rapid response and increased humanitarian assistance.
2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)在刚果民主共和国南基伍省的爆发引起了对额外发病率和死亡率的关注。在第二波疫情到来之前,更新这些指标至关重要,以便为额外的援助做好准备。
2020 年 5 月中旬至 12 月中旬,对 10 个卫生区的抽样街道进行了每周调查,以量化使用障碍措施的情况,并询问行人其家庭中的患病和死亡情况。估计了粗死亡率(CDR)。
至少有一半的街道观察到口罩使用不足或不使用。2020 年 5 月至 12 月期间,COVID-19 疑似病例数量增加了六倍(P < 0.05)。在接受采访前 30 天内死亡的病例中,有 20%被认为与 COVID-19 有关。研究开始和结束时的每月 CDR 分别约为每 1000 人 5 和 25(P < 0.05);即每年每 1000 人分别为 60 和 260。因此,在第一波疫情期间,估计死亡率比前几年增加了 50%,到 2020 年底至少增加了四倍。
尽管可能存在高估,但南基伍的超额死亡率令人极为担忧。这场危机需要迅速做出反应并增加人道主义援助。