Li Meiyue, Lin Shen, Wilson Leslie, Huang Pinfang, Wang Hang, Lai Shubin, Dong Liangliang, Xu Xiongwei, Weng Xiuhua
Department of Pharmacy, First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
Departments of Medicine and Pharmacy, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States.
Front Oncol. 2021 Mar 9;11:562135. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2021.562135. eCollection 2021.
Hepatic arterial infusion (HAI) of oxaliplatin, leucovorin, and fluorouracil (FOLFOX) plus sorafenib has a more desirable effect versus sorafenib for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with portal vein invasion. However, considering the high cost of hepatic arterial infusion of chemotherapy (HAIC), this study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of HAIC plus sorafenib (SoraHAIC) versus standard care for HCC patients from the Chinese health system perspective.
A Markov multi-state model was constructed to simulate the disease course and source consumption of SoraHAIC. Costs of primary therapeutic drugs were calculated based on the national bid price, and hepatic artery catheterization fee was collected from the Fujian Provincial Price Bureau. Clinical data, other costs, and utility values were extracted from references. Primary outcomes included life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The robustness of model was verified by uncertainty sensitivity analyses.
SoraHAIC gained 1.18 QALYs (1.68 LYs) at a cost of $65,254, while the effectiveness and cost of sorafenib were 0.52 QALYs (0.79 LYs) and $14,280, respectively. The ICER of SoraHAIC vs sorafenib was $77,132/QALY ($57,153/LY). Parameter that most influenced the ICER was utility of PFS state. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) showed that SoraHAIC was not cost-effective in the WTP threshold of 3Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita of China ($30,492/QALY). But about 38.8% of the simulations were favorable to SoraHAIC at the WTP threshold of 3GDP per capita of Beijing ($72,000/QALY). When 3*GDP per capita of Fujian ($47,285/QALY) and Gansu Province ($14,595/QALY) were used as WTP threshold, the acceptability of SoraHAIC was 0.3% and 0%, respectively.
The study results indicated that SoraHAIC was not cost-effective in medium-, and low-income regions of China. In developed areas of China (Beijing), there was a 38.8% probability that the SoraHAIC regimen would be cost-effective.
对于有门静脉侵犯的肝细胞癌(HCC)患者,肝动脉灌注(HAI)奥沙利铂、亚叶酸钙和氟尿嘧啶(FOLFOX)联合索拉非尼比单独使用索拉非尼有更理想的效果。然而,考虑到肝动脉灌注化疗(HAIC)成本高昂,本研究从中国卫生系统角度评估了HAIC联合索拉非尼(SoraHAIC)对比标准治疗方案对HCC患者的成本效益。
构建马尔可夫多状态模型以模拟SoraHAIC的疾病进程和资源消耗。主要治疗药物成本根据国家中标价格计算,肝动脉插管费用从福建省物价局获取。临床数据、其他成本和效用值从参考文献中提取。主要结局包括生命年(LYs)、质量调整生命年(QALYs)和增量成本效益比(ICER)。通过不确定性敏感性分析验证模型的稳健性。
SoraHAIC获得1.18个QALYs(1.68个LYs),成本为65,254美元,而索拉非尼的有效性和成本分别为0.52个QALYs(0.79个LYs)和14,280美元。SoraHAIC对比索拉非尼的ICER为77,132美元/QALY(57,153美元/LY)。对ICER影响最大的参数是无进展生存期(PFS)状态的效用。概率敏感性分析(PSA)显示,在中国人均国内生产总值(GDP)的3倍(30,492美元/QALY)的意愿支付(WTP)阈值下,SoraHAIC不具有成本效益。但在北京人均GDP的3倍(72,000美元/QALY)的WTP阈值下,约38.8%的模拟结果有利于SoraHAIC。当以福建人均GDP的3倍(47,285美元/QALY)和甘肃人均GDP的3倍(14,595美元/QALY)作为WTP阈值时,SoraHAIC的可接受性分别为0.3%和0%。
研究结果表明,SoraHAIC在中国中低收入地区不具有成本效益。在中国发达地区(北京),SoraHAIC方案有38.8%的概率具有成本效益。