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一个描述具有非奇异核的新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)动力学的分数阶模型。

A fractional-order model describing the dynamics of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) with nonsingular kernel.

作者信息

Boudaoui Ahmed, El Hadj Moussa Yacine, Hammouch Zakia, Ullah Saif

机构信息

Laboratory of Mathematics Modeling and Applications, University of Adrar, National Road No. 06, 01000, Adrar, Algeria.

Department of Probability and Statistics, University Djillali liabes, L.P 89, Sidi Bel Abbes 22000, Algeria.

出版信息

Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2021 May;146:110859. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110859. Epub 2021 Mar 20.

DOI:10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110859
PMID:33776249
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7980231/
Abstract

In this paper, we investigate an epidemic model of the novel coronavirus disease or COVID-19 using the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative. We discuss the existence and uniqueness of solution for the model under consideration, by using the the Picard-Lindelöf theorem. Further, using an efficient numerical approach we present an iterative scheme for the solutions of proposed fractional model. Finally, many numerical simulations are presented for various values of the fractional order to demonstrate the impact of some effective and commonly used interventions to mitigate this novel infection. From the simulation results we conclude that the fractional order epidemic model provides more insights about the disease dynamics.

摘要

在本文中,我们使用卡普托 - 法布里齐奥导数研究新型冠状病毒病(COVID - 19)的一种流行模型。我们通过皮卡德 - 林德洛夫定理讨论所考虑模型解的存在性和唯一性。此外,我们使用一种有效的数值方法为所提出的分数阶模型的解给出一个迭代格式。最后,针对分数阶的各种值进行了许多数值模拟,以展示一些有效且常用的干预措施对减轻这种新型感染的影响。从模拟结果我们得出结论,分数阶流行模型为疾病动态提供了更多见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/817c/7980231/f880e202e8fc/gr5_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/817c/7980231/a6a9c01f737e/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/817c/7980231/0cedcc8d030c/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/817c/7980231/4986284cfef6/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/817c/7980231/4b7d4b48f877/gr4_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/817c/7980231/f880e202e8fc/gr5_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/817c/7980231/a6a9c01f737e/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/817c/7980231/0cedcc8d030c/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/817c/7980231/4986284cfef6/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/817c/7980231/4b7d4b48f877/gr4_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/817c/7980231/f880e202e8fc/gr5_lrg.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Modeling the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on the dynamics of novel coronavirus with optimal control analysis with a case study.通过案例研究,运用最优控制分析对非药物干预措施对新型冠状病毒动态的影响进行建模。
Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2020 Oct;139:110075. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110075. Epub 2020 Jul 3.
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A fractional differential equation model for the COVID-19 transmission by using the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative.
利用泰国的真实数据对 COVID-19 疫情进行建模。
Sci Rep. 2023 Aug 11;13(1):13082. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-39798-9.
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Fractional calculus in mathematical oncology.分数阶微积分在数学肿瘤学中的应用。
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A bifurcation analysis and model of Covid-19 transmission dynamics with post-vaccination infection impact.一种具有疫苗接种后感染影响的新冠病毒传播动力学的分岔分析与模型
Healthc Anal (N Y). 2023 Nov;3:100157. doi: 10.1016/j.health.2023.100157. Epub 2023 Mar 11.
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