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低生育率背景下,教育构成和均等贡献对完成队列生育力变化的影响。

Educational composition and parity contribution to completed cohort fertility change in low-fertility settings.

机构信息

Australian National University.

Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona.

出版信息

Popul Stud (Camb). 2021 Jul;75(2):153-167. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2021.1895291. Epub 2021 Mar 29.

DOI:10.1080/00324728.2021.1895291
PMID:33780319
Abstract

Extensive literature has documented the contribution of rising women's education to decreases in completed cohort fertility (CCF). A key question related to the education-fertility relationship is to what extent the decrease in fertility is the result of changes in educational composition vs changes in fertility behaviours within educational categories. This study quantified the effect of educational expansion on fertility levels by decomposing the overall change in CCF into educational composition and education-specific fertility, and explored the changes in parity-specific components of CCF by education for cohorts born between 1940 and 1970. The results show that, despite the decline in CCF being caused mostly by changes in fertility behaviours, educational composition had a considerable impact for some cohorts. The decline in third and higher-order births played a central role in the fall in CCF across educational groups, while the effects of transitions to first and second births varied substantially.

摘要

大量文献记录了女性受教育程度的提高对总和生育率(CCF)下降的贡献。与教育-生育率关系相关的一个关键问题是,生育率的下降在多大程度上是由于教育结构的变化,还是由于教育类别内生育行为的变化。本研究通过将 CCF 的总体变化分解为教育构成和特定教育的生育率,量化了教育扩张对生育率水平的影响,并探讨了 1940 年至 1970 年出生的队列中按教育程度划分的生育特定组成部分的变化。结果表明,尽管 CCF 的下降主要是由于生育行为的变化,但对于一些队列来说,教育构成也有相当大的影响。第三胎及以上生育的减少在各教育群体的 CCF 下降中起着核心作用,而生育第一胎和第二胎的变化则有很大差异。

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Popul Stud (Camb). 2021 Jul;75(2):153-167. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2021.1895291. Epub 2021 Mar 29.
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