Li Xiao-Kun, Hua Tian-Tian, Zhang Chi, Xu Yang, Wu Wen-Jie, Zheng Chao, Wang Gao-Ming, Qiang Yong, Cong Zhuang-Zhuang, Yi Jun, Shen Yi
Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Jinling Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Ann Transl Med. 2021 Mar;9(6):458. doi: 10.21037/atm-20-6082.
Esophagogastric anastomotic leak (AL) is a severe complication following esophageal resection. This study aims to explore preliminarily whether the ratio of the gastric conduit length to the thorax length can be regarded as a potential prognostic variable for AL, and if so, a cut-off value can be found to divide the patients into distinct risk groups.
We retrospectively reviewed the clinical data of 273 patients who underwent esophagectomy. The gastric conduit length, the thorax length, and other covariates were collected. Logistic regression was first conducted to probe the rationality of the ratio as a risk indicator of AL. Then the dichotomizing analysis was applied to find the optimal cut-off value.
The incidence of AL was 12.5% (34/273). The coefficient of the ratio in the logistic regression equation was -7.901 with P<0.001, which indicated that the larger the ratio, the smaller the risk of AL. Further smoothed scatter plots revealed that a potential step function of the ratio of AL incidence exists, of which the steep part ranges from 1.74 to 1.90. Results of the accurate cut-off value search through a minimum P value approach give the optimal dichotomization point of 1.79.
The ratio of the gastric conduit length to the thorax length can reflect the tension in the anastomosis. The research proposes that surgeons can control the length of the gastric conduit during reconstruction to reduce the tension in the anastomosis and thus lead to a decrease in the incidence of AL.
食管胃吻合口漏(AL)是食管切除术后的一种严重并发症。本研究旨在初步探讨胃管长度与胸段长度之比是否可作为AL的潜在预后变量,若可以,则找到一个临界值将患者分为不同风险组。
我们回顾性分析了273例行食管切除术患者的临床资料。收集胃管长度、胸段长度及其他协变量。首先进行逻辑回归以探究该比值作为AL风险指标的合理性。然后应用二分法分析找到最佳临界值。
AL的发生率为12.5%(34/273)。逻辑回归方程中该比值的系数为-7.901,P<0.001,这表明该比值越大,AL风险越小。进一步的平滑散点图显示AL发生率的比值存在潜在的阶跃函数,其陡峭部分范围为1.74至1.90。通过最小P值法搜索准确临界值的结果给出最佳二分点为1.79。
胃管长度与胸段长度之比可反映吻合口的张力。该研究表明外科医生在重建过程中可控制胃管长度以降低吻合口张力,从而降低AL的发生率。