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人类生态学中生态足迹(EF)与层次分析法(AHP)的综合方法:迈向可持续发展规划的基础。

An integrated approach of Ecological Footprint (EF) and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) in human ecology: A base for planning toward sustainability.

作者信息

Fatemi Mahsa, Rezaei-Moghaddam Kurosh, Karami Ezatollah, Hayati Dariush, Wackernagel Mathis

机构信息

Department of Agricultural Extension and Education, School of Agriculture, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran.

Global Footprint Network, Oakland, California, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 Apr 16;16(4):e0250167. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250167. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

Environmental challenges to natural resources have been attributed to human behavior and traditional agricultural production techniques. Natural resource degradation in agriculture has always been a prime concern in agro ecological research and sustainability analysis. There are many techniques for assessing environmental performance; one of which, ecological footprint (EF), assesses human pressure on the environment and natural resources. The main purpose of this study was calculation of ecological indices including biocapacity (BC) and EF of rural areas of Fars province of Iran. The study was accomplished using survey and structured interviews consisting of three main questionnaires in two different steps. Different agricultural stakeholders, including farmers (for the first step) as well as the policymakers, extension managers and authorities (for the second step) were interviewed. Based on multi-stage stratified random sampling, 50 villages and 423 farmers were selected. Face validity and reliability of the questionnaires were assessed by a panel of specialists as well as conducting a pilot study, respectively. The paradigmatic perspectives of agricultural policy makers and managers (22 individuals) were also analyzed using another specific questionnaire by Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). Findings revealed that most of the studied villages faced a critical environmental condition due to the results of ecological indicator which was calculated in the study. According to the four main components of human ecology (POET model) including Population, Organization, Environment and Technology, village groups that differed in terms of sustainability level also showed significantly differences due to population, social participation, use of green technologies and attitude towards diverse environmental management paradigms. The causal model also revealed that population, green technology, social participation and attitude toward frontier economics, which were in accordance with the elements of human ecology model, were the main factors affecting the ecological index. Finally, AHP results determined the dominant economic perspectives of agricultural authorities. A paradigm shift toward the comprehensive paradigm of eco-development plus consideration of the results of the ecological indicator calculation as the base of agricultural planning at the local level were recommended.

摘要

自然资源面临的环境挑战被归因于人类行为和传统农业生产技术。农业中的自然资源退化一直是农业生态研究和可持续性分析的首要关注点。有许多评估环境绩效的技术;其中之一,生态足迹(EF),评估人类对环境和自然资源的压力。本研究的主要目的是计算伊朗法尔斯省农村地区的生态指标,包括生态承载力(BC)和生态足迹。该研究分两个不同步骤,通过调查和结构化访谈完成,访谈包括三份主要问卷。不同的农业利益相关者,包括农民(第一步)以及政策制定者、推广管理人员和当局(第二步)接受了访谈。基于多阶段分层随机抽样,选取了50个村庄和423名农民。问卷的表面效度和信度分别由专家小组评估以及通过开展预试验来评估。还使用另一份特定问卷,通过层次分析法(AHP)分析了农业政策制定者和管理人员(22人)的范式观点。研究结果表明,由于研究中计算的生态指标结果,大多数被研究的村庄面临严峻的环境状况。根据人类生态学的四个主要组成部分(POET模型),即人口、组织、环境和技术,在可持续性水平方面存在差异的村庄群体在人口、社会参与、绿色技术使用以及对不同环境管理范式的态度方面也存在显著差异。因果模型还表明,与人类生态学模型要素一致的人口、绿色技术、社会参与和对前沿经济学的态度是影响生态指标的主要因素。最后,层次分析法的结果确定了农业当局的主导经济观点。建议向生态发展的综合范式转变,并将生态指标计算结果作为地方层面农业规划的基础加以考虑。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c8a1/8051938/9545c4e877e2/pone.0250167.g001.jpg

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