Rasnick Erika, Ryan Patrick H, Bailer A John, Fisher Thomas, Parsons Patrick J, Yolton Kimberly, Newman Nicholas C, Lanphear Bruce P, Brokamp Cole
Department of Statistics, Miami University, Oxford.
Division of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center.
Environ Epidemiol. 2021 Mar 16;5(2):e144. doi: 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000144. eCollection 2021 Apr.
Despite the precipitous decline of airborne lead concentrations following the removal of lead in gasoline, lead is still detectable in ambient air in most urban areas. Few studies, however, have examined the health effects of contemporary airborne lead concentrations in children.
We estimated monthly air lead exposure among 263 children (Cincinnati Childhood Allergy and Air Pollution Study; Cincinnati, OH; 2001-2005) using temporally scaled predictions from a validated land use model and assessed neurobehavioral outcomes at age 12 years using the parent-completed Behavioral Assessment System for Children, 2nd edition. We used distributed lag models to estimate the effect of airborne lead exposure on behavioral outcomes while adjusting for potential confounding by maternal education, community-level deprivation, blood lead concentrations, greenspace, and traffic related air pollution.
We identified sensitive windows during mid- and late childhood for increased anxiety and atypicality scores, whereas sensitive windows for increased aggression and attention problems were identified immediately following birth. The strongest effect was at age 12, where a 1 ng/m increase in airborne lead exposure was associated with a 3.1-point (95% confidence interval: 0.4, 5.7) increase in anxiety scores. No sensitive windows were identified for depression, somatization, conduct problems, hyperactivity, or withdrawal behaviors.
We observed associations between exposure to airborne lead concentrations and poor behavioral outcomes at concentrations 10 times lower than the National Ambient Air Quality Standards set by the US Environmental Protection Agency.
尽管汽油中铅被去除后空气中铅浓度急剧下降,但在大多数城市地区的环境空气中仍可检测到铅。然而,很少有研究考察当代环境空气中铅浓度对儿童健康的影响。
我们利用经过验证的土地利用模型按时间尺度预测,估算了263名儿童(辛辛那提儿童过敏与空气污染研究;俄亥俄州辛辛那提;2001 - 2005年)每月的空气铅暴露量,并使用家长完成的第二版儿童行为评估系统评估了12岁时的神经行为结果。我们使用分布滞后模型来估计空气铅暴露对行为结果的影响,同时调整母亲教育程度、社区贫困程度、血铅浓度、绿地面积和交通相关空气污染等潜在混杂因素。
我们确定了童年中期和后期焦虑和异常分数增加的敏感窗口期,而出生后立即确定了攻击和注意力问题增加的敏感窗口期。最强的影响出现在12岁时,空气中铅暴露量每增加1 ng/m,焦虑分数增加3.1分(95%置信区间:0.4,5.7)。未发现抑郁、躯体化、行为问题、多动或退缩行为的敏感窗口期。
我们观察到,在美国环境保护局设定的国家环境空气质量标准的10倍浓度下,暴露于空气中的铅浓度与不良行为结果之间存在关联。