Institute of Epidemiology and Statistics, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Gansu Provincial Maternity and Child-care Hospital, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Sep;28(33):45793-45804. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-13961-z. Epub 2021 Apr 20.
Some studies suggested that 24-h temperature change (TC24) was one of the potential risk factors for human health. However, evidence of the short-term effect of TC24 on outpatient and emergency department (O&ED) visits and hospitalizations for cause-specific cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) is still limited. The aim of this study is to explore the short-term effects of TC24 on O&ED visits and hospitalizations for CVDs in northwest China which is an area with large temperature variation. The O&ED visits records for CVDs of 3 general hospitals and the inpatient records for CVDs of 4 general hospitals were collected from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2016, in Jinchang City, northwest China. Meteorological and air pollution data were also obtained during the same study period from local meteorological monitoring station and environmental monitoring station, respectively. A generalized additive model (GAM) with Poisson regression was employed to analyze the effects of TC24 on O&ED visits and hospitalizations for CVDs. V-shaped relationship were found between TC24 and O&ED visits and hospitalizations for CVDs, including total CVD, hypertension, coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. Stratified analysis showed that men and patients over 65 years old were more susceptible to temperature changes. The estimates in non-heating months were higher than in full year. TC24 can affect the O&ED visits and hospitalizations for CVDs in this study. This study provides useful data for policy makers to better prepare local responses to the impact of changes in temperature on population health.
一些研究表明,24 小时温度变化(TC24)是人类健康的潜在危险因素之一。然而,TC24 对门诊和急诊(O&ED)就诊和因特定心血管疾病(CVDs)住院的短期影响的证据仍然有限。本研究旨在探讨 TC24 对中国西北地区门诊和急诊就诊和因心血管疾病住院的短期影响,该地区的温度变化较大。本研究收集了 2013 年 1 月 1 日至 2016 年 12 月 31 日期间,中国西北部金昌市 3 家综合医院的心血管疾病 O&ED 就诊记录和 4 家综合医院的心血管疾病住院记录,同时还收集了同期当地气象监测站和环境监测站的气象和空气污染数据。采用广义加性模型(GAM)和泊松回归分析 TC24 对心血管疾病 O&ED 就诊和住院的影响。TC24 与心血管疾病 O&ED 就诊和住院之间存在 V 形关系,包括总心血管疾病、高血压、冠心病(CHD)和中风。分层分析显示,男性和 65 岁以上的患者对温度变化更敏感。非供暖月份的估计值高于全年。TC24 可影响本研究中 CVD 的 O&ED 就诊和住院。本研究为决策者提供了有用的数据,以更好地为应对温度变化对人口健康的影响做好准备。