Vakil D V, Ayiomamitis A
Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Cancer Detect Prev. 1988;11(3-6):251-7.
Breast cancer is the number one cause of death in Canadian women aged 20-74 years (for all 5-year age groups) and the second leading cause for those aged 75 years and over. To assess the long-term mortality of this disease, we collected and analyzed data from 1925 to 1982. A 3-year base period was used to obtain person-years exposure using Newton-Cotes' method. All rates were standardized to the 1956 Canadian population for age and sex using the direct method. Standard errors of age-standardized death rates (ASDR) were computed using Chiang's method. Mortality from breast cancer has been quite stable during the study period (at about 23.7 deaths/100,000 population). The lowest ASDR occurred in 1926 (at 17.5 deaths/100,000 population); the highest occurred in 1946 (when it reached 26.6 deaths/100,000 population). During 1951-1981, the ASDR fluctuated between 22.8 and 24.0 deaths/100,000 population. Examination of age sex-specific rates revealed a steady trend for 25-44-year-old females and a rise in mortality in the older age groups. It is suggested that part of this rise may be associated with changes in environment, life-style, and therapy.
乳腺癌是加拿大20至74岁女性(所有5岁年龄组)的首要死因,也是75岁及以上女性的第二大死因。为评估该疾病的长期死亡率,我们收集并分析了1925年至1982年的数据。使用牛顿-柯特斯方法以3年基期来获取人年暴露量。所有比率均采用直接法按1956年加拿大人口的年龄和性别进行标准化。年龄标准化死亡率(ASDR)的标准误采用蒋氏方法计算。在研究期间,乳腺癌死亡率一直相当稳定(约为每10万人口23.7例死亡)。最低的ASDR出现在1926年(每10万人口17.5例死亡);最高的出现在1946年(达到每10万人口26.6例死亡)。在1951年至1981年期间,ASDR在每10万人口22.8例死亡至24.0例死亡之间波动。对年龄别、性别别死亡率的检查显示,25至44岁女性呈现稳定趋势,而老年组死亡率上升。有人认为,这种上升部分可能与环境、生活方式和治疗的变化有关。