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**社会经济地位、家庭韧性和脆弱性在 COVID-19 下:以四川省村级数据为例。**

Socio-economic status, resilience, and vulnerability of households under COVID-19: Case of village-level data in Sichuan province.

机构信息

Center for Trans-Himalaya Studies, Leshan Normal University, Leshan, Sichuan, China.

School of Economics and Management, Leshan Normal University, Leshan, Sichuan, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 Apr 29;16(4):e0249270. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0249270. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

This paper investigates economic impacts of COVID-19 on households based on differences in the socio-economic status (SES). We determine the household-level effects of the COVID-19 shock using income sources, types of industries, communities' resilience, household susceptibility, and relevant policy measures. For this purpose, we used primary data of 555 households collected through snowball sampling technique using an online survey questionnaire from different villages mostly located in Sichuan Province, China. Using step-wise binary logistic regression analysis, we estimated and validated the model. Results suggest the use of SES as a better measure for understanding the impacts of COVID-19 on different households. We find that households with low SES tend to depend more on farmland income and transfer payments from the government. Contrarily, high SES households focus more on business and local employment as sources of income generation. Poor households were less resilient and more likely to fall back into poverty due to COVID-19, while the opposite stands true for non-poor households with high SES. Based on the estimations, policies encouraging employment and businesses complemented with loans on lower interest rates are recommended, which may increase the SES, thus minimizing vulnerability and enhancing the households' resilience towards poverty alleviation and economic shocks.

摘要

本文基于社会经济地位(SES)的差异,调查了 COVID-19 对家庭的经济影响。我们使用收入来源、行业类型、社区弹性、家庭易感性和相关政策措施来确定 COVID-19 冲击对家庭的影响。为此,我们使用了通过雪球抽样技术从中国四川省不同村庄收集的 555 户家庭的主要数据,使用在线问卷调查进行了调查。我们使用逐步二元逻辑回归分析对模型进行了估计和验证。结果表明,使用 SES 作为衡量 COVID-19 对不同家庭影响的更好指标。我们发现,SES 较低的家庭往往更多地依赖农田收入和政府的转移支付。相反,SES 较高的高收入家庭则更注重商业和当地就业作为收入来源。贫困家庭因 COVID-19 而缺乏弹性,更容易陷入贫困,而 SES 较高的非贫困家庭则恰恰相反。根据这些估计,建议采取鼓励就业和企业的政策,并提供低利率贷款,这可能会提高 SES,从而最大程度地减少脆弱性,并增强家庭对扶贫和经济冲击的弹性。

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