Kim Dong-Ki, Lee Dong-Hun, Lee Byung-Kook, Cho Yong-Soo, Ryu Seok-Jin, Jung Yong-Hun, Lee Ji-Ho, Han Jun-Ho
Department of Emergency Medicine, Chonnam National University Medical School, 160 Baekseo-ro, Dong-gu, Gwangju 61469, Korea.
J Clin Med. 2021 Apr 28;10(9):1915. doi: 10.3390/jcm10091915.
The present study aimed to analyze and compare the prognostic performances of the Revised Trauma Score (RTS), Injury Severity Score (ISS), Shock Index (SI), and Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) for in-hospital mortality in patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI). This retrospective observational study included severe trauma patients with TBI who visited the emergency department between January 2018 and December 2020. TBI was considered when the Abbreviated Injury Scale was 3 or higher. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. In total, 1108 patients were included, and the in-hospital mortality was 183 patients (16.3% of the cohort). Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were performed for the ISS, RTS, SI, and MEWS with respect to the prediction of in-hospital mortality. The area under the curves (AUCs) of the ISS, RTS, SI, and MEWS were 0.638 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.603-0.672), 0.742 (95% CI, 0.709-0.772), 0.524 (95% CI, 0.489-0.560), and 0.799 (95% CI, 0.769-0.827), respectively. The AUC of MEWS was significantly different from the AUCs of ISS, RTS, and SI. In multivariate analysis, age (odds ratio (OR), 1.012; 95% CI, 1.000-1.023), the ISS (OR, 1.040; 95% CI, 1.013-1.069), the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score (OR, 0.793; 95% CI, 0.761-0.826), and body temperature (BT) (OR, 0.465; 95% CI, 0.329-0.655) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality after adjustment for confounders. In the present study, the MEWS showed fair performance for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with TBI. The GCS score and BT seemed to have a significant role in the discrimination ability of the MEWS. The MEWS may be a useful tool for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with TBI.
本研究旨在分析和比较修订创伤评分(RTS)、损伤严重程度评分(ISS)、休克指数(SI)和改良早期预警评分(MEWS)对创伤性脑损伤(TBI)患者院内死亡率的预测性能。这项回顾性观察性研究纳入了2018年1月至2020年12月期间因TBI到急诊科就诊的严重创伤患者。当简略损伤量表评分为3或更高时,考虑为TBI。主要结局是院内死亡率。总共纳入了1108例患者,其中183例患者发生院内死亡(占队列的16.3%)。对ISS、RTS、SI和MEWS进行了关于预测院内死亡率的受试者工作特征曲线分析。ISS、RTS、SI和MEWS的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.638(95%置信区间(CI),0.603 - 0.672)、0.742(95%CI,0.709 - 0.772)、0.524(95%CI,0.489 - 0.560)和0.799(95%CI,0.769 - 0.827)。MEWS的AUC与ISS、RTS和SI的AUC有显著差异。在多变量分析中,调整混杂因素后,年龄(比值比(OR),1.012;95%CI,1.000 - 1.023)、ISS(OR,1.040;95%CI,1.013 - 1.069)、格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)评分(OR,0.793;95%CI,0.761 - 0.826)和体温(BT)(OR,0.465;95%CI,0.329 - 0.655)与院内死亡率独立相关。在本研究中,MEWS在预测TBI患者院内死亡率方面表现良好。GCS评分和BT似乎在MEWS的鉴别能力中起重要作用。MEWS可能是预测TBI患者院内死亡率的有用工具。