Beyşehir Ali Akkanat Business Faculty, Business Management and Organization, Selcuk University, Konya, Turkey.
Graduate School of Social Sciences Institute, Nevsehir HBV University, Nevsehir, Turkey.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Sep;28(36):50167-50178. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-14185-x. Epub 2021 May 5.
Energy consumption is an indispensable element for the purpose of achieving economic growth. Clean energy sources must be put into use to achieve a sustainable environment. The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship among growth, energy consumption, employment, education, and inflation with PVAR, FMOLS, and DOLS analysis in BRICS countries. The study that covers the 2001-2018 observation period included growth as the dependent variable in the equation. The only common result of the three coefficient estimates is that there is no significant relationship between education and growth. However, the increase in income has a decreasing effect on the level of education. The direction of causality between the two variables is from growth to education. Contrary to the PVAR estimate, according to FMOLS and DOLS, energy consumption and employment have a positive contribution towards growth. However, according to PVAR regression results, income growth has a positive effect on employment. Moreover, a unidirectional causal relation from energy consumption to growth and a bidirectional relation between growth and employment have been determined. This one-way relationship between energy consumption and GDP depicts that the growth hypothesis is valid. Furthermore, an energy poverty problem does not exist in BRICS countries. According to FMOLS, DOLS, and PVAR forecasts, the relationship between inflation and growth is complex. In accordance with PVAR estimates, the increase in growth reduces inflation, and the causality from growth to inflation also supports the PVAR results. According to the outcome of the research, energy poverty is not observed in the panel countries. It would be wise for BRICS countries to increase their energy consumption and employment levels in order to increase growth. However, considering the air pollution caused by fossil fuel consumption, it is key that they employ renewable energy sources.
能源消耗是实现经济增长的必要因素。为了实现可持续的环境,必须利用清洁能源。本研究旨在通过面板向量自回归(PVAR)、动态最小二乘法(DOLS)和完全修正最小二乘法(FMOLS)分析,研究金砖国家经济增长、能源消耗、就业、教育和通货膨胀之间的关系。该研究涵盖了 2001-2018 年的观测期,将增长作为方程中的因变量。三个系数估计的唯一共同结果是,教育与增长之间没有显著关系。然而,收入的增加对教育水平有负向影响。两个变量之间的因果关系是从增长到教育。与 PVAR 估计相反,根据 FMOLS 和 DOLS,能源消耗和就业对增长有正向贡献。然而,根据 PVAR 回归结果,收入增长对就业有正向影响。此外,还确定了能源消耗与增长之间的单向因果关系以及增长与就业之间的双向关系。能源消耗与 GDP 之间的这种单向关系表明增长假设成立。此外,金砖国家不存在能源贫困问题。根据 FMOLS、DOLS 和 PVAR 预测,通货膨胀与增长之间的关系是复杂的。根据 PVAR 估计,增长的增加会降低通货膨胀,并且从增长到通货膨胀的因果关系也支持 PVAR 结果。根据研究结果,面板国家没有观察到能源贫困。金砖国家提高能源消耗和就业水平以促进增长将是明智之举。然而,考虑到化石燃料消耗所造成的空气污染,利用可再生能源至关重要。