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揭示电动汽车销量与充电基础设施之间的双向联系:来自中国95个城市的证据。

Unveiling the bidirectional link between electric vehicle sales and charging infrastructure: Evidence from 95 cities in China.

作者信息

Guo Jianfeng, Xu Binbin, Cao Qi, Liu Siyao, Gu Fu, Zhang Xuemei

机构信息

Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China.

School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China.

出版信息

iScience. 2024 Oct 24;27(11):111245. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2024.111245. eCollection 2024 Nov 15.

Abstract

Constructing electric vehicle charging piles (EVCPs) is crucial for promoting electric vehicle (EV) sales. Yet, empirical evidence on the bidirectional relationship between EV sales and public EVCPs is limited, with most related works relying on simulations. We empirically investigate this relationship using panel vector autoregression (PVAR) across 95 Chinese cities from 2018 to 2022. Results show EVCPs significantly boost EV sales, especially in colder regions. Higher air pollution and purchase subsidies inhibit the promoting impact of EV sales on EVCPs. The propelling effect of EVCPs on EV sales is impaired in higher housing prices regions. A significant and positive bidirectional relationship exists between EVCPs and battery electric vehicles (BEVs) sales exists, but not with plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) present. Our findings have implications for stakeholders, such as the construction of fast charging infrastructure under lower temperatures, and differentiated charging demands of EVs with different powertrains need to be addressed.

摘要

建设电动汽车充电桩对促进电动汽车销售至关重要。然而,关于电动汽车销售与公共电动汽车充电桩之间双向关系的实证证据有限,大多数相关研究依赖于模拟。我们使用2018年至2022年中国95个城市的面板向量自回归(PVAR)对这种关系进行了实证研究。结果表明,电动汽车充电桩显著促进了电动汽车销售,尤其是在较寒冷的地区。更高的空气污染和购买补贴抑制了电动汽车销售对充电桩的促进作用。在房价较高的地区,充电桩对电动汽车销售的推动作用受到损害。电动汽车充电桩与纯电动汽车(BEV)销售之间存在显著的正向双向关系,但与插电式混合动力汽车(PHEV)不存在这种关系。我们的研究结果对利益相关者具有启示意义,例如在较低温度下建设快速充电基础设施,以及需要满足不同动力系统电动汽车的差异化充电需求。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fe3d/11574808/9ed46c7303dc/fx1.jpg

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