Department of Molecular Epidemiology, German Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Nuthetal, Germany.
German Center for Diabetes Research, Neuherberg, Germany.
JAMA Netw Open. 2021 May 3;4(5):e218505. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.8505.
IMPORTANCE: People classified by a priori definitions as having metabolically healthy obesity have frequently been found to be at increased risk of mortality, compared with individuals with metabolically healthy normal weight, suggesting these definitions may be insufficient. OBJECTIVES: To systematically derive a new definition of metabolic health (MH) and investigate its association with cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality and total mortality. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In a cohort study using data from the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES-III), a representative survey using complex multistage probability sampling, anthropometric factors, biomarkers, and blood pressure (BP) associated with total and CVD mortality among participants with obesity were identified with Cox proportional hazards regression. Area under the receiver operating characteristic was calculated to identify predictive factors for mortality to be used to define MH, cutoff levels were determined by the Youden index, and the findings were validated through comparison with the independent UK Biobank cohort, a population-based prospective study. All nonpregnant participants in the databases aged 18 to 75 years with no history of CVD, body mass index greater than or equal to 18.5, and who fasted 6 or more hours before examination in NHANES-III were included; participants in the UK Biobank cohort who did not have blood measurements were excluded. The study was conducted from 2015 to 2020. EXPOSURES: Body mass index and MH were defined by the new definition and compared with 3 a priori definitions. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Cardiovascular disease mortality and total mortality. RESULTS: Within the NHANES-III (n = 12 341) cohort, mean (SD) age was 41.6 (29.2) years, 50.7% were women, and mean follow-up was 14.5 (2.7) years. Within the UK Biobank (n = 374 079) cohort, mean (SD) age was 56.2 (8.1) years, 55.1% were women, and mean follow-up was 7.8 (1.0) years. Use of blood pressure (BP)-lowering medication (hazard ratio [HR] for CVD mortality, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.50-3.87 and total mortality, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.47-2.84), diabetes, and several continuous factors were associated with mortality. Of all significant continuous factors, the combination of systolic BP and waist-to-hip ratio showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic (CVD mortality: 0.775; 95% CI, 0.770-0.781; total mortality: 0.696; 95% CI, 0.694-0.699). Thus, MH was defined as systolic BP less than 130 mm Hg, no BP-lowering medication, waist-to-hip ratio less than 0.95 for women and less than 1.03 for men, and no self-reported (ie, prevalent) diabetes. In both cohorts, metabolically healthy obesity was not associated with CVD and total mortality compared with metabolically healthy normal weight. For NHANES-III, the hazard ratio was 0.68 (95% CI, 0.30-1.54) for CVD mortality and 1.03 (95% CI, 0.70-1.51) for total mortality. For UK Biobank, the hazard ratio was 1.17 (95% CI, 0.81-1.69) for CVD mortality and 0.98 (95% CI, 0.87-1.10) for total mortality. Regardless of body mass index, all metabolically unhealthy groups displayed increased risks. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This newly proposed definition of MH may identify a subgroup of people with obesity without increased risk of mortality and stratify risks in people who are overweight or normal weight.
重要性:与代谢健康正常体重的个体相比,先前根据定义被归类为代谢健康肥胖的个体,经常被发现具有更高的死亡率,这表明这些定义可能不够充分。 目的:系统地得出一个新的代谢健康 (MH) 定义,并研究其与心血管疾病 (CVD) 死亡率和全因死亡率的关联。 设计、地点和参与者:在一项使用来自第三次国家健康和营养检查调查 (NHANES-III) 的队列研究中,该研究是一项使用复杂多阶段概率抽样的代表性调查,使用 Cox 比例风险回归确定了与肥胖参与者的全因和 CVD 死亡率相关的人体测量因素、生物标志物和血压 (BP)。计算接收者操作特征曲线下的面积以确定用于定义 MH 的死亡预测因素,通过 Youden 指数确定截断水平,并通过与独立的英国生物银行队列进行比较进行验证,英国生物银行队列是一项基于人群的前瞻性研究。NHANES-III 数据库中所有非妊娠参与者年龄在 18 至 75 岁之间,体重指数大于或等于 18.5,并且在检查前禁食 6 小时以上;英国生物银行队列中没有血液测量的参与者被排除在外。该研究于 2015 年至 2020 年进行。 暴露:通过新定义定义体重指数和 MH,并与 3 种先验定义进行比较。 主要结果和措施:CVD 死亡率和全因死亡率。 结果:在 NHANES-III (n = 12341) 队列中,平均 (SD) 年龄为 41.6 (29.2) 岁,50.7%为女性,平均随访时间为 14.5 (2.7) 年。在英国生物银行 (n = 374079) 队列中,平均 (SD) 年龄为 56.2 (8.1) 岁,55.1%为女性,平均随访时间为 7.8 (1.0) 年。使用降压药物 (CVD 死亡率的风险比 [HR],2.41;95%CI,1.50-3.87 和全因死亡率,2.05;95%CI,1.47-2.84)、糖尿病和几种连续因素与死亡率相关。在所有显著的连续因素中,收缩压和腰臀比的组合显示出最高的接收者操作特征曲线下面积 (CVD 死亡率:0.775;95%CI,0.770-0.781;全因死亡率:0.696;95%CI,0.694-0.699)。因此,MH 被定义为收缩压小于 130mmHg,未使用降压药物,女性腰臀比小于 0.95,男性小于 1.03,并且没有自我报告(即现患)的糖尿病。在两个队列中,与代谢健康正常体重相比,代谢健康肥胖与 CVD 和全因死亡率无关。对于 NHANES-III,CVD 死亡率的风险比为 0.68 (95%CI,0.30-1.54),全因死亡率为 1.03 (95%CI,0.70-1.51)。对于英国生物银行,CVD 死亡率的风险比为 1.17 (95%CI,0.81-1.69),全因死亡率为 0.98 (95%CI,0.87-1.10)。无论体重指数如何,所有代谢不健康的组都显示出更高的风险。 结论和相关性:这个新提出的 MH 定义可能会确定一个肥胖人群亚组,他们没有增加死亡风险,并对超重或正常体重的人群进行风险分层。
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