新型冠状病毒肺炎的潜伏期：现有理解与建模技术。
The Incubation Period of COVID-19: Current Understanding and Modeling Technique.
机构信息
Deakin University, Burwood, VIC, Australia.
Network of Immunity in Infection, Malignancy and Autoimmunity (NIIMA), Universal Scientific Education and Research Network (USERN), Burwood, VIC, Australia.
出版信息
Adv Exp Med Biol. 2021;1318:81-90. doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-63761-3_5.
This chapter aims to answer the following questions regarding the incubation period of COVID-19. Why is understanding the incubation period of COVID-19 important? How long is the incubation time, and what are the associating factors? How should the incubation period be modeled given the current pandemic situation? Where should we go from here? As a critical epidemiological metric, the incubation period is of public health and clinical importance. While the incubation time of COVID-19 is generally similar to that of SARS and MERS, recent studies identifying factors that impact the incubation period of COVID-19, travel history, for example, only tell part of the story. Therefore, in addition to reviewing current findings, this chapter also explores the modeling technique and future research directions of the incubation period of COVID-19.
这一章旨在回答以下关于 COVID-19 潜伏期的问题。了解 COVID-19 的潜伏期为什么很重要？潜伏期有多长，有哪些相关因素？鉴于当前的大流行情况，应该如何对潜伏期进行建模？我们下一步应该怎么做？作为一个关键的流行病学指标，潜伏期对公共卫生和临床都很重要。虽然 COVID-19 的潜伏期通常与 SARS 和 MERS 相似，但最近的研究确定了影响 COVID-19 潜伏期的因素，例如旅行史，这仅说明了部分情况。因此，除了回顾当前的发现外，本章还探讨了 COVID-19 潜伏期的建模技术和未来研究方向。
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