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瑞德西韦治疗 2019 冠状病毒病(COVID-19):一项对随机对照试验的系统评价和荟萃分析及试验序贯分析。

Remdesivir for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): a systematic review with meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis of randomized controlled trials.

机构信息

George and Fay Yee Centre for Healthcare Innovation, Max Rady College of Medicine, Rady Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada.

Department of Community Health Sciences, Max Rady College of Medicine, Rady Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada.

出版信息

Infect Dis (Lond). 2021 Sep;53(9):691-699. doi: 10.1080/23744235.2021.1923799. Epub 2021 May 11.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In view of many unanswered clinical questions regarding treatment of COVID-19 with remdesivir, we systematically identified, critically appraised and summarized the findings from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of remdesivir for COVID-19.

METHODS

We searched relevant databases/websites (up to September 2020) and selected English-language RCT publications of remdesivir for COVID-19. We conducted meta-analysis using an inverse variance, random-effects model in addition to trial sequential analysis (TSA) for the efficacy outcomes: all-cause mortality, viral burden and clinical progression. Safety outcomes were diarrhoea, nausea, and vomiting. We calculated the relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for all outcomes. Statistical heterogeneity was calculated using the statistic.

RESULTS

We included five RCTs (7540 participants) from 7237 citations. Most (80%) were of an unclear to high risk of bias. There was no evidence of a significant improvement with remdesivir (100 mg, 10 days) regarding all-cause mortality (RR 0.94, CI 0.82-1.07; = 0%; 4 RCTs; 7143 patients), clinical progression (RR 1.08, CI 0.99-1.18; = 70.4%; 3 RCTs; 1692 patients), or diarrhoea (RR 0.82, CI 0.40-1.66; = 0%; 2 RCTs; 630 patients). Nausea occurred more often with remdesivir (RR 2.77, CI 1.28-6.03; = 0%; 2 RCTs; 630 patients). TSA showed that the required information size was not reached for firm conclusions to be drawn.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

There is insufficient evidence to support the use of remdesivir for treatment of COVID-19. More high-quality RCTs are needed for a stronger evidence. Until then, remdesivir should remain an experimental drug for COVID-19.

摘要

背景

鉴于有关瑞德西韦治疗 COVID-19 的许多临床问题尚未得到解答,我们系统地确定、批判性评价并总结了瑞德西韦治疗 COVID-19 的随机对照试验(RCT)的结果。

方法

我们检索了相关数据库/网站(截至 2020 年 9 月),并选择了瑞德西韦治疗 COVID-19 的英文 RCT 出版物。我们使用逆方差、随机效应模型进行了荟萃分析,并对疗效结局(全因死亡率、病毒载量和临床进展)进行了试验序贯分析(TSA)。安全性结局为腹泻、恶心和呕吐。我们计算了所有结局的相对风险(RR)和 95%置信区间(CI)。使用统计量 计算了统计学异质性。

结果

我们纳入了 5 项 RCT(7540 名参与者),来自 7237 条引文。大多数(80%)的偏倚风险为不清楚或高。瑞德西韦(100mg,10 天)治疗在全因死亡率(RR 0.94,CI 0.82-1.07; = 0%;4 项 RCT;7143 名患者)、临床进展(RR 1.08,CI 0.99-1.18; = 70.4%;3 项 RCT;1692 名患者)或腹泻(RR 0.82,CI 0.40-1.66; = 0%;2 项 RCT;630 名患者)方面没有显著改善。瑞德西韦治疗组恶心发生率更高(RR 2.77,CI 1.28-6.03; = 0%;2 项 RCT;630 名患者)。TSA 显示,目前尚无法得出确定的结论,因为所需信息的数量还未达到。

结论和相关性

没有足够的证据支持使用瑞德西韦治疗 COVID-19。需要更多高质量的 RCT 来提供更强的证据。在那之前,瑞德西韦仍应作为 COVID-19 的实验性药物。

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