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利用最大熵模型在土耳其东地中海地区选择可再生能源系统站点。

Selection of renewable energy systems sites using the MaxEnt model in the Eastern Mediterranean region in Turkey.

机构信息

Mining and Mineral Extraction Department, School of Technical Sciences, Adıyaman University, 02040, Adıyaman, Turkey.

Department of Environmental Engineering, Çukurova University, 01330, Adana, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Oct;28(37):51405-51424. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-13760-6. Epub 2021 May 13.

Abstract

Global warming has become the center of worldwide environmental concerns, especially in recent years. One of the ways to deal with global warming that causes climate change is to adopt the renewable energy power technique. Different renewable energy sources such as solar, wind, hydro, ocean, geothermal, and bioenergy are currently the backbone of green and sustainable economic growth. However, renewable energy sites are directly or indirectly dependent on environmental, social, and technical criteria.The main objective of this paper is to identify potential best renewable energy site alternatives using the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) and Geographical Information systems (GIS). Thus, the framework formed by the findings will guide investors in the renewable energy sector. The results showed that suitable areas for solar and wind were mainly located in the Hatay and Mersin of the Eastern Mediterranean Region in Turkey. The energy suitability site maps indicate that 8% (3.42 km) and 3.39% (1554 km) of the total study area have suitability and very suitability for solar and wind energy respectively. Moreover, it is seen that 44.82% (20,689km) of the regions are the same when suitable and very suitable regions are overlaid for the installation of solar and wind energy sites. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate model performance. The area under the curve (AUC) values are calculated 0.87 and 0.95 for solar and wind energy, respectively. Relying on realistic data, this paper proposes an innovative method to identify suitable areas for solar and wind power plants. The maps obtained to contribute to renewable energy production will be useful for creating future strategies in the Mediterranean region.

摘要

全球变暖已成为全球环境关注的焦点,尤其是近年来。应对气候变化引起的全球变暖的方法之一是采用可再生能源技术。太阳能、风能、水能、海洋能、地热能和生物能等不同的可再生能源目前是绿色和可持续经济增长的支柱。然而,可再生能源站点直接或间接地依赖于环境、社会和技术标准。本文的主要目的是使用最大熵模型(MaxEnt)和地理信息系统(GIS)来确定潜在的最佳可再生能源站点替代方案。因此,该研究形成的框架将指导可再生能源领域的投资者。结果表明,太阳能和风能的适宜地区主要位于土耳其东地中海地区的哈塔伊和梅尔辛。能源适宜性站点图表明,研究区总面积的 8%(3.42 公里)和 3.39%(1554 公里)分别具有太阳能和风能的适宜性和极适宜性。此外,当太阳能和风能的适宜性和极适宜性区域叠加时,44.82%(20689 公里)的区域是相同的。接收器操作特性(ROC)曲线用于评估模型性能。太阳能和风能的曲线下面积(AUC)值分别计算为 0.87 和 0.95。本文利用现实数据提出了一种识别太阳能和风能发电厂适宜区域的创新方法。获得的地图将有助于可再生能源的生产,这将为地中海地区未来的战略制定提供参考。

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