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基于模糊层次分析法与最大熵方法相结合的风电场选址研究

The combination of fuzzy analytical hierarchical process and maximum entropy methods for the selection of wind farm location.

作者信息

Unal Cilek Muge, Guner Esra Deniz, Tekin Senem

机构信息

Department of Landscape Architecture, Faculty of Architecture, Fırat University, 23119, Elazig, Turkey.

Department of Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Çukurova University, 01330, Adana, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Sep;29(43):65391-65406. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-20477-7. Epub 2022 Apr 29.

Abstract

Wind energy is one of the important renewable energy alternatives due to its wide potential and meeting increasing energy demand. However, location selection in wind farms is a complex spatial decision process for decision-makers. This study aimed to determine suitable wind farm locations by combining Fuzzy-Analytical Hierarchical Process (F-AHP) and Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) methods for Hatay Province, Turkey. Firstly, nine decision criteria for selecting suitable wind farm locations were determined by climate, environmental, social and economic factors. Secondly, the F-AHP and MaxEnt models were implemented and suitable areas were mapped according to five suitability classes. Finally, F-AHP and MaxEnt model results were combined to define and classify priority locations for the wind farm. Study results show that wind speed, air densities and elevation are important criteria for F-AHP, while wind speed, wind power density and distance from power criteria are the most important factors for MaxEnt. Very high and high suitable wind farm locations of Hatay Province cover 21.6% in F-AHP and 29.8% in the MaxEnt model, while very low and low suitable areas cover 48.1% of the study area in both model results. To determine the priority wind farm location, F-AHP and MaxEnt model results were overlapped and reclassified according to the combination of suitability classes. The priority classes show that 62.9% of the study area is unsuitable for the wind farm. However, the limited area was determined as the 1st-priority area (3.2%), 2nd-priority area (4.9%) and 3rd-priority area (6.2%) to locate the wind farm. Consequently, the study methodology enables a more precise evaluation by combining different model results for decision-makers to select the optimum wind farm location selection.

摘要

由于风能具有广泛的潜力且能满足不断增长的能源需求,它是重要的可再生能源之一。然而,对于决策者而言,风电场的选址是一个复杂的空间决策过程。本研究旨在通过结合模糊层次分析法(F-AHP)和最大熵(MaxEnt)方法,为土耳其哈塔伊省确定合适的风电场选址。首先,根据气候、环境、社会和经济因素确定了九个选择合适风电场选址的决策标准。其次,实施了F-AHP和MaxEnt模型,并根据五个适宜性等级绘制了适宜区域图。最后,将F-AHP和MaxEnt模型结果相结合,以定义和分类风电场的优先选址区域。研究结果表明,风速、空气密度和海拔高度是F-AHP的重要标准,而风速、风能密度和与电力标准的距离是MaxEnt的最重要因素。哈塔伊省非常高和高适宜的风电场选址在F-AHP模型中占21.6%,在MaxEnt模型中占29.8%,而非常低和低适宜区域在两个模型结果中均占研究区域的48.1%。为了确定优先风电场选址,将F-AHP和MaxEnt模型结果重叠,并根据适宜性等级的组合重新分类。优先等级表明,研究区域的62.9%不适宜建设风电场。然而,确定了有限的区域作为建设风电场的第一优先区域(3.2%)、第二优先区域(4.9%)和第三优先区域(6.2%)。因此,该研究方法通过结合不同模型结果,能够为决策者选择最佳风电场选址提供更精确的评估。

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