预测新型 SARS-CoV-2 变异株在欧洲的影响。
Forecasting the Effects of the New SARS-CoV-2 Variant in Europe.
机构信息
Universidade de Vigo, Departamento de Matemática Aplicada II, E.E. Aeronáutica e do Espazo, Campus As Lagoas-Ourense, Ourense 32004, Spain.
Instituto de Matemáticas, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela 15782, Spain.
出版信息
ScientificWorldJournal. 2021 May 4;2021:5553240. doi: 10.1155/2021/5553240. eCollection 2021.
Due to the emergence of a new SARS-CoV-2 variant, we use a previous model to simulate the behaviour of this new SARS-CoV-2 variant. The analysis and simulations are performed for Europe, in order to provide a global analysis of the pandemic. In this context, numerical results are obtained in the first 100 days of the pandemic assuming an infectivity of 70%, 56%, and 35%, respectively, higher for the new SAR-CoV-2 variant, as compared with the real data.
由于一种新型 SARS-CoV-2 变异株的出现，我们使用之前的模型来模拟这种新型 SARS-CoV-2 变异株的行为。该分析和模拟是针对欧洲进行的，目的是对大流行进行全球分析。在这种情况下，假设新 SARS-CoV-2 变异株的传染性分别比实际数据高 70%、56%和 35%，在大流行的前 100 天获得了数值结果。
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