AgEstimation Project, Macerata, Italy.
Department of Forensic Medicine, Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University, Moscow, Russia.
Int J Legal Med. 2021 Sep;135(5):1945-1952. doi: 10.1007/s00414-021-02622-y. Epub 2021 May 23.
Estimation of age of majority has important applications in the forensic daily practice because of the increasing demand for age estimates of unaccompanied minors. Diagnostic accuracy of I to assess legal adult age of 18 years has been already tested in several specific population samples. The aim of this work was to compare the available data about sensitivity and specificity of the third molar maturity index (I) from five different regional groups' radiographic samples to study possible ethnical difference. For this purpose, a sample of 6157 orthopantomograms (OPGs), coming from 15 countries, was analysed. Data about sensitivity and specificity were pooled using a bivariate modelling approach. The one-way MANOVA analysis was applied to assess the likelihood that sensitivity and specificity of the five regional groups are sampled from the same population. The result of the one-way MANOVA showed that both sensitivity and specificity did not depend from the regional groups. The obtained sensitivity was 84% (95% CI: 82% and 85%), and its specificity was 94% (95% CI: 93% and 95%). Based on these results, the I was a useful statistical tool to identify whether a subject has reached the legal age of 18 years old, regardless of his or her ethnicity.
法定成年年龄的估计在法医日常实践中具有重要应用,因为越来越需要对无人陪伴的未成年人进行年龄估计。已经在几个特定的人群样本中测试了 I 来评估 18 岁法定成年年龄的诊断准确性。这项工作的目的是比较来自五个不同地区群体放射样本的第三磨牙成熟度指数 (I) 的可用数据,以研究可能存在的种族差异。为此,分析了来自 15 个国家的 6157 张全景片 (OPG)。使用双变量建模方法汇总了有关敏感性和特异性的数据。应用单向 MANOVA 分析来评估五个地区群体的敏感性和特异性是否来自同一人群。单向 MANOVA 的结果表明,敏感性和特异性都不依赖于地区群体。获得的敏感性为 84%(95%CI:82%和 85%),特异性为 94%(95%CI:93%和 95%)。基于这些结果,I 是一种有用的统计工具,可以确定一个人是否已经达到 18 岁的法定年龄,而不论其种族如何。