Liversidge H M, Peariasamy K, Folayan M O, Adeniyi A O, Ngom P I, Mikami Y, Shimada Y, Kuroe K, Tvete I F, Kvaal S I
Institute of Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, London, United Kingdom.
Department of Paediatric Dentistry, Sungai Buloh Hospital, Selangor, Malaysia.
J Forensic Odontostomatol. 2017 Dec 1;35(2):97-108.
The nature of differences in the timing of tooth formation between ethnic groups is important when estimating age.
To calculate age of transition of the mandibular third (M3) molar tooth stages from archived dental radiographs from sub-Saharan Africa, Malaysia, Japan and two groups from London UK (Whites and Bangladeshi).
The number of radiographs was 4555 (2028 males, 2527 females) with an age range 10-25 years. The left M3 was staged into Moorrees stages. A probit model was fitted to calculate mean ages for transitions between stages for males and females and each ethnic group separately. The estimated age distributions given each M3 stage was calculated. To assess differences in timing of M3 between ethnic groups, three models were proposed: a separate model for each ethnic group, a joint model and a third model combining some aspects across groups. The best model fit was tested using Bayesian and Akaikes information criteria (BIC and AIC) and log likelihood ratio test.
Differences in mean ages of M3 root stages were found between ethnic groups, however all groups showed large standard deviation values. The AIC and log likelihood ratio test indicated that a separate model for each ethnic group was best. Small differences were also noted between timing of M3 between males and females, with the exception of the Malaysian group. These findings suggests that features of a reference data set (wide age range and uniform age distribution) and a Bayesian statistical approach are more important than population specific convenience samples to estimate age of an individual using M3.
Some group differences were evident in M3 timing, however, this has some impact on the confidence interval of estimated age in females and little impact in males because of the large variation in age.
在估计年龄时,不同种族之间牙齿形成时间差异的本质很重要。
根据来自撒哈拉以南非洲、马来西亚、日本以及英国伦敦两个群体(白人和孟加拉裔)的存档牙科X光片,计算下颌第三磨牙(M3)牙龄阶段的转变年龄。
X光片数量为4555张(男性2028例,女性2527例),年龄范围为10至25岁。左侧M3被分为穆里斯阶段。采用概率模型分别计算男性、女性以及每个种族群体各阶段转变的平均年龄。计算每个M3阶段对应的估计年龄分布。为评估不同种族群体M3形成时间的差异,提出了三个模型:每个种族群体一个单独的模型、一个联合模型以及一个结合不同群体某些方面的第三个模型。使用贝叶斯信息准则和赤池信息准则(BIC和AIC)以及对数似然比检验来测试最佳模型拟合。
不同种族群体之间M3牙根阶段的平均年龄存在差异,但所有群体的标准差都很大。AIC和对数似然比检验表明每个种族群体一个单独的模型是最佳的。除马来西亚群体外,男性和女性之间M3形成时间也存在细微差异。这些发现表明,在使用M3估计个体年龄时,参考数据集的特征(年龄范围广和年龄分布均匀)和贝叶斯统计方法比特定人群的便利样本更重要。
M3形成时间存在一些群体差异,然而,由于年龄差异较大,这对女性估计年龄的置信区间有一定影响,对男性影响较小。