Crawford Samuel A, Gong Cynthia L, Yieh Leah, Randolph Linda M, Hay Joel W
Schaeffer Center for Health Policy & Economics, School of Pharmacy, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Fetal & Neonatal Institute, Division of Neonatology, Children's Hospital Los Angeles, Department of Pediatrics, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Genet Med. 2021 Oct;23(10):1854-1863. doi: 10.1038/s41436-021-01210-0. Epub 2021 May 26.
To determine the value of early exome sequencing (eES) relative to the current typical care (TC) in the diagnosis of newborns with suspected severe mitochondrial disorders (MitD).
We used a decision tree-Markov hybrid to model neonatal intensive care unit (NICU)-related outcomes and costs, lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years among patients with MitD. Probabilities, costs, and utilities were populated using published literature, expert opinion, and the Pediatric Health Information System database. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) and net monetary benefits (NMB) were calculated from lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years for singleton and trio eES, and TC. Robustness was assessed using univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA). Scenario analyses were also conducted.
Findings indicate trio eES is a cost-minimizing and cost-effective alternative to current TC. Diagnostic probabilities and NICU length-of-stay were the most sensitive model parameters. Base case analysis demonstrates trio eES has the highest incremental NMB, and PSA demonstrates trio eES had the highest likelihood of being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) of $200,000 relative to TC, singleton eES, and no ES.
Trio and singleton eES are cost-effective and cost-minimizing alternatives to current TC in diagnosing newborns suspected of having a severe MitD.
确定早期外显子组测序(eES)相对于当前典型护理(TC)在诊断疑似严重线粒体疾病(MitD)新生儿中的价值。
我们使用决策树 - 马尔可夫混合模型来模拟线粒体疾病患者的新生儿重症监护病房(NICU)相关结局和成本、终身成本以及质量调整生命年。概率、成本和效用值通过已发表的文献、专家意见以及儿科健康信息系统数据库来确定。从单样本和三联体eES以及TC的终身成本和质量调整生命年中计算增量成本效益比(ICER)和净货币效益(NMB)。使用单变量和概率敏感性分析(PSA)评估稳健性。还进行了情景分析。
研究结果表明三联体eES是当前TC的一种成本最小化且具有成本效益的替代方案。诊断概率和NICU住院时长是最敏感的模型参数。基础案例分析表明三联体eES具有最高的增量NMB,PSA表明相对于TC、单样本eES和无外显子组测序,三联体eES在支付意愿(WTP)为200,000美元时具有最高的成本效益可能性。
在诊断疑似患有严重MitD的新生儿时,三联体和单样本eES是当前TC具有成本效益且成本最小化的替代方案。