Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET), Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Asian Disaster Preparedness Center (ADPC), Dhaka, Bangladesh.
PLoS One. 2021 May 27;16(5):e0252228. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0252228. eCollection 2021.
To prevent the viral transmission from higher infected to lower infected area, controlling the vehicular traffic, consequently public movement on roads is crucial. Containment strategies and local cognition regarding pandemic might be helpful to control vehicular movement. This study aimed to ascertain the effectiveness of containment strategies and local cognition for controlling traffic volume during COVID-19 pandemic in Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Six containment strategies were considered to explore their influence on traffic condition, including declaration of general holiday, closure of educational institution, deployment of force, restriction on religious gathering, closure of commercial activities, and closure of garments factories. Newspaper coverage and public concern about COVID-19 were considered as local cognition in this research. The month of Ramadan as a potential event was also taken into account considering it might have an impact on the overall situation. Average daily journey speed (ADJS) was calculated from real-time traffic data of Google Map to understand the vehicular traffic scenario of Dhaka. A multiple linear regression method was developed to comprehend the findings.
The results showed that among the containment strategies, declaration of general holiday and closure of educational institutions could increase the ADJS significantly, thereby referring to less traffic movement. Besides, local cognition could not significantly affect the traffic condition, although the month of Ramadan could increase the ADJS significantly.
It is expected that these findings would provide new insights into decision-making and help to take appropriate strategies to tackle the future pandemic situation.
为了防止病毒从高感染区传播到低感染区,控制车辆交通,因此道路上的公众流动至关重要。控制策略和对大流行的本地认知可能有助于控制车辆流动。本研究旨在确定孟加拉国达卡在 COVID-19 大流行期间控制交通量的控制策略和本地认知的有效性。
考虑了六种控制策略来探索它们对交通状况的影响,包括宣布公共假日、关闭教育机构、部署部队、限制宗教集会、关闭商业活动和关闭制衣厂。在这项研究中,报纸报道和公众对 COVID-19 的关注被视为本地认知。考虑到斋月可能对整体情况产生影响,还考虑了斋月作为一个潜在事件。从谷歌地图的实时交通数据中计算平均每日行程速度 (ADJS),以了解达卡的交通状况。采用多元线性回归方法来理解研究结果。
结果表明,在控制策略中,宣布公共假日和关闭教育机构可以显著提高 ADJS,从而减少交通流量。此外,尽管斋月可能会显著增加 ADJS,但本地认知并不能显著影响交通状况。
预计这些发现将为决策提供新的见解,并有助于采取适当的策略应对未来的大流行情况。