Dlamini Wendy W, Nielsen Searles, Ushe Mwiza, Nelson Gill, Racette Brad A
Department of Neurology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, United States.
Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Parktown, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Front Neurol. 2021 May 13;12:653066. doi: 10.3389/fneur.2021.653066. eCollection 2021.
The prevalence of parkinsonism in developing countries is largely unknown due to difficulty in ascertainment because access to neurologists is often limited. Develop and validate a parkinsonism screening tool using objective motor task-based tests that can be administered by non-clinicians. In a cross-sectional population-based sample from South Africa, we evaluated 315 adults, age >40, from an Mn-exposed (smelter) community, using the Unified Parkinson Disease Rating Scale motor subsection 3 (UPDRS3), Purdue grooved pegboard, and kinematic-UPDRS3-based motor tasks. In 275 participants (training dataset), we constructed a linear regression model to predict UPDRS3. We selected motor task summary measures independently associated with UPDRS3 ( < 0.05). We validated the model internally in the remaining 40 participants from the manganese-exposed community (test dataset) using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and externally in another population-based sample of 90 participants from another South African community with only background levels of environmental Mn exposure. The mean UPDRS3 score in participants from the Mn-exposed community was 9.1 in both the training and test datasets (standard deviation = 6.4 and 6.1, respectively). Together, 57 (18.1%) participants in this community had a UPDRS3 ≥ 15, including three with Parkinson's disease. In the non-exposed community, the mean UPDRS3 was 3.9 (standard deviation = 4.3). Three (3.3%) had a UPDRS3 ≥ 15. Grooved pegboard time and mean velocity for hand rotation and finger tapping tasks were strongly associated with UPDRS3. Using these motor task summary measures and age, the UPDRS3 predictive model performed very well. In the test dataset, AUCs were 0.81 (95% CI 0.68, 0.94) and 0.91 (95% CI 0.81, 1.00) for cut points for neurologist-assessed UPDRS3 ≥ 10 and UPDRS3 ≥ 15, respectively. In the external validation dataset, the AUC was 0.85 (95% CI 0.73, 0.97) for UPDRS3 ≥ 10. AUCs were 0.76-0.82 when excluding age. A predictive model based on a series of objective motor tasks performs very well in assessing severity of parkinsonism in both Mn-exposed and non-exposed population-based cohorts.
由于难以确定,发展中国家帕金森综合征的患病率很大程度上未知,因为获得神经科医生的服务往往有限。开发并验证一种基于客观运动任务测试的帕金森综合征筛查工具,该工具可由非临床医生进行管理。在一项来自南非的基于人群的横断面样本中,我们对315名年龄大于40岁、来自锰暴露(冶炼厂)社区的成年人进行了评估,使用统一帕金森病评定量表运动部分3(UPDRS3)、普渡有槽钉板测试以及基于运动学的UPDRS3运动任务。在275名参与者(训练数据集)中,我们构建了一个线性回归模型来预测UPDRS3。我们选择了与UPDRS3独立相关的运动任务汇总指标(<0.05)。我们在来自锰暴露社区的其余40名参与者(测试数据集)中使用受试者操作特征曲线下面积(AUC)对模型进行内部验证,并在另一个来自南非另一个社区、仅具有环境锰背景暴露水平的90名参与者的基于人群的样本中进行外部验证。在训练和测试数据集中,来自锰暴露社区的参与者的UPDRS3平均得分均为9.1(标准差分别为6.4和6.1)。在这个社区中,共有57名(18.1%)参与者的UPDRS3≥15,其中包括3名帕金森病患者。在未暴露社区中,UPDRS3平均分为3.9(标准差=4.3)。3名(3.3%)患者的UPDRS3≥15。有槽钉板测试时间以及手部旋转和手指敲击任务的平均速度与UPDRS3密切相关。使用这些运动任务汇总指标和年龄,UPDRS3预测模型表现良好。在测试数据集中,对于神经科医生评估的UPDRS3≥10和UPDRS3≥15的切点,AUC分别为0.81(95%CI 0.68,0.94)和0.91(95%CI 0.81,1.00)。在外部验证数据集中,对于UPDRS3≥10,AUC为0.85(95%CI 0.73,0.97)。排除年龄后,AUC为0.76 - 0.82。基于一系列客观运动任务的预测模型在评估锰暴露和未暴露的基于人群队列中的帕金森综合征严重程度方面表现良好。