Trauma and Vascular Surgery Section, Clinical Research, Hamad General Hospital (HGH), Doha, Qatar.
Clinical Medicine, Weill Cornell Medical College, Doha, Qatar.
Brain Inj. 2021 Jun 7;35(7):803-811. doi: 10.1080/02699052.2021.1927181. Epub 2021 Jun 2.
We aimed to assess the prognostic value of Rotterdam and Marshall scoring systems to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI). A retrospective analysis was conducted for patients with TBI who underwent head computerized tomography (CT) scan at a Level I trauma center between 2011 and 2018. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to determine the cutoff values for predicting in-hospital mortality. A total of 1035 patients with TBI were included with a mean age of 30 years. The mean Rotterdam and Marshall scores were higher among non-survivors ( = .001). Patients with higher Rotterdam (>3) or Marshall (>2) CT scores were older, had higher injury severity scores and in-hospital mortality and had lower GCS and blood ethanol levels than those with lower scores. The cutoff point of Rotterdam score was 3.5 (sensitivity, 61.2%; specificity, 85.6%) and Marshall score was 2.5 (74.3% sensitivity and 76.3% specificity). Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed that Marshall and Rotterdam scoring systems were independent predictors of mortality (odds ratio 8.4; 95% confidence interval 4.95-14.17 and odds ratio 4.4; 95% confidence interval 2.36-9.39, respectively). Rotterdam and Marshall CT scores have independent prognostic values in patients with TBI even in alcoholic patients.
我们旨在评估 Rotterdam 和 Marshall 评分系统对预测创伤性脑损伤 (TBI) 患者住院死亡率的预后价值。对 2011 年至 2018 年间在一级创伤中心接受头部计算机断层扫描 (CT) 检查的 TBI 患者进行了回顾性分析。使用受试者工作特征 (ROC) 曲线确定预测住院死亡率的截断值。共纳入 1035 例 TBI 患者,平均年龄为 30 岁。非幸存者的 Rotterdam 和 Marshall 评分均值较高(P<.001)。Rotterdam (>3) 或 Marshall (>2) CT 评分较高的患者年龄较大,损伤严重程度评分和住院死亡率较高,GCS 和血乙醇水平较低。 Rotterdam 评分的截断点为 3.5(敏感性为 61.2%,特异性为 85.6%),Marshall 评分的截断点为 2.5(敏感性为 74.3%,特异性为 76.3%)。多变量逻辑回归分析表明,Marshall 和 Rotterdam 评分系统是死亡率的独立预测因素(比值比 8.4;95%置信区间 4.95-14.17 和比值比 4.4;95%置信区间 2.36-9.39)。Rotterdam 和 Marshall CT 评分在 TBI 患者中具有独立的预后价值,即使在酒精中毒患者中也是如此。