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新冠疫情、封锁措施及其对以化石燃料为主的电力系统的影响。

COVID-19 pandemic, lockdown, and consequences for a fossil fuel-dominated electricity system.

作者信息

Khan Imran, Sahabuddin Md

机构信息

Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Jashore University of Science and Technology, Jashore 7408, Bangladesh.

出版信息

AIP Adv. 2021 May 5;11(5):055307. doi: 10.1063/5.0050551. eCollection 2021 May.

Abstract

In South Asian countries, the spread of COVID-19 was not treated seriously until mid-March 2020. Measures similar to those considered in Europe and other developed countries, such as maintaining social distance and lockdowns, were imposed. Lockdowns imposed a significant impact on the power sector, and this has been well explored in the literature for developed countries. A country-specific assessment of the impact of COVID-19 on the energy sector is crucial for future crisis management and underpinning sustainable power sector development plans. The impact of COVID-19 on Bangladesh's fossil-fuel dominated electricity sector is explored in this study. The analyses were conducted for 2019 and for the pandemic lockdown period in 2020. Daily hourly demand variations for different electricity generation zones in the country were investigated. The impact of these demand variations on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions was assessed through time-varying carbon intensity analysis. Nationwide, the analysis revealed that the maximum hourly demand reduced by about 14% between 5 and 6 pm whereas the minimum demand reduction (3%-4%) occurred between 7:30 and 8 pm. Peak time demand reduction was found to be minimal during lockdowns. The national absolute GHG emission reduced by about 1075 kt CO , an ∼16% reduction compared with that in 2019. Time-varying carbon intensity patterns varied significantly between zones.

摘要

在南亚国家,直到2020年3月中旬,新冠病毒的传播才受到重视。该国实施了与欧洲和其他发达国家类似的措施,如保持社交距离和封锁。封锁对电力部门产生了重大影响,这在有关发达国家的文献中已有充分探讨。针对新冠病毒对能源部门的影响进行国别评估,对于未来的危机管理和支撑可持续电力部门发展计划至关重要。本研究探讨了新冠病毒对孟加拉国以化石燃料为主的电力部门的影响。分析针对2019年以及2020年疫情封锁期进行。研究调查了该国不同发电区域的每日每小时需求变化情况。通过随时间变化的碳强度分析,评估了这些需求变化对温室气体(GHG)排放的影响。在全国范围内,分析显示,下午5点至6点之间每小时的最大需求减少了约14%,而晚上7点30分至8点之间需求减少最少(3%-4%)。研究发现,封锁期间高峰时段的需求减少幅度最小。全国温室气体绝对排放量减少了约kt CO,与2019年相比减少了约16%。不同区域随时间变化的碳强度模式差异显著。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/85ab/8171325/0e24812642a7/AAIDBI-000011-055307_1-g001.jpg

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