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成人侵袭性肺炎球菌病死亡的预后因素:一项系统评价和荟萃分析。

Prognostic factors for mortality in invasive pneumococcal disease in adult: a system review and meta-analysis.

作者信息

Chen Hao, Matsumoto Hiromi, Horita Nobuyuki, Hara Yu, Kobayashi Nobuaki, Kaneko Takeshi

机构信息

Department of Pulmonology, Yokohama City University Graduate School of Medicine, 3-9 Fukuura, Kanazawa, Yokohama, 236-0004, Japan.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2021 Jun 4;11(1):11865. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-91234-y.

Abstract

Risk factors associated with mortality in invasive pneumococcal disease remain unclear. The present work is a meta-analysis of studies that enrolled only patients with invasive pneumococcal disease and reported on mortality. Potentially eligible reports were identified from PubMed, CHAHL, and Web of Science, comprising 26 reports in total. Overall mortality for invasive pneumococcal disease was reported as 20.8% (95% confidence interval (CI) 17.5-24%). Factors associated with mortality were age (odds ratio (OR) 3.04, 95% CI 2.5-3.68), nursing home (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.13-2.32), nosocomial infection (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.52-2.89), septic shock (OR 13.35, 95% CI 4.54-39.31), underlying chronic diseases (OR 2.34, 95% CI 1.78-3.09), solid organ tumor (OR 5.34, 95% CI 2.07-13.74), immunosuppressed status (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.31-2.14), and alcohol abuse (OR 3.14, 95% CI 2.13-4.64). Mortality rates with invasive pneumococcal disease remained high, and these findings may help clinicians provide appropriate initial treatment for this disease.

摘要

侵袭性肺炎球菌病的死亡相关危险因素仍不明确。本研究是一项荟萃分析,纳入的研究仅涉及侵袭性肺炎球菌病患者并报告了死亡率。通过PubMed、CHAHL和科学网检索到潜在符合条件的报告,共26篇。侵袭性肺炎球菌病的总体死亡率报告为20.8%(95%置信区间[CI] 17.5 - 24%)。与死亡相关的因素包括年龄(比值比[OR] 3.04,95% CI 2.5 - 3.68)、养老院居住史(OR 1.62,95% CI 1.13 - 2.32)、医院感染(OR 2.10,95% CI 1.52 - 2.89)、感染性休克(OR 13.35,95% CI 4.54 - 39.31)、潜在慢性疾病(OR 2.34,95% CI 1.78 - 3.09)、实体器官肿瘤(OR 5.34,95% CI 2.07 - 13.74)、免疫抑制状态(OR 1.67,95% CI 1.31 - 2.14)以及酒精滥用(OR 3.14,95% CI 2.13 - 4.64)。侵袭性肺炎球菌病的死亡率仍然很高,这些发现可能有助于临床医生为该病提供适当的初始治疗。

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