Geriatric Trauma Center, Sint Antonius Ziekenhuis Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Geriatric Trauma Center, Diakonessenhuis Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg. 2022 Jun;48(3):1919-1927. doi: 10.1007/s00068-021-01712-1. Epub 2021 Jun 7.
The research questions for this study were as follows: (1) is the Parker Mobility Score (PMS) associated with discharge disposition and hospital length of stay (HLOS) of geriatric traumatic hip fracture patients? (2) Can the PMS be incorporated in a decision tree for the prediction of discharge disposition of geriatric traumatic hip fracture patients upon admittance.
A dual-center retrospective cohort study was conducted at two level II trauma centers. All patients aged 70 years and older with traumatic hip fractures undergoing surgery in 2018 and 2019 were included consecutively (n = 649). A χ automatic interaction detection analysis was performed to determine the association of the PMS (and other variables) with discharge disposition and HLOS and predict discharge destination.
The decision tree for discharge disposition classified patients with an overall accuracy of 82.1% and a positive predictive value of 91% for discharge to a rehabilitation facility. The PMS had the second most significant effect on discharge disposition (χ = 22.409, p < 0.001) after age (χ = 79.094, p < 0.001). Regarding the tree analysis of HLOS, of all variables in the analysis, PMS had the most significant association with HLOS (F = 14.891, p < 0.001). Patients who were discharged home had a mean HLOS of 6.5 days (SD 8.0), whereas patients who were discharged to an institutional care facility had a mean HLOS of 9.7 days (SD 6.4; p < 0.001).
This study shows that the PMS was strongly associated with discharge disposition and HLOS. The decision tree for the discharge disposition of geriatric traumatic hip fracture patients offers a practical solution to start discharge planning upon admittance which could potentially reduce HLOS.
Level III, diagnostic.
本研究的研究问题如下:(1)帕克活动能力评分(Parker Mobility Score,PMS)是否与老年创伤性髋部骨折患者的出院去向和住院时间(Length of Stay,HLOS)有关?(2)能否将 PMS 纳入预测老年创伤性髋部骨折患者入院时出院去向的决策树中。
在两家二级创伤中心进行了一项双中心回顾性队列研究。连续纳入 2018 年和 2019 年接受手术治疗的 70 岁及以上创伤性髋部骨折患者(n=649)。采用 χ²自动交互检测分析来确定 PMS(和其他变量)与出院去向和 HLOS 的关联,并预测出院目的地。
出院去向决策树对患者的总体分类准确率为 82.1%,对康复机构出院的阳性预测值为 91%。PMS 对出院去向的影响仅次于年龄(χ²=79.094,p<0.001),具有第二大影响(χ²=22.409,p<0.001)。关于 HLOS 的树分析,在分析中的所有变量中,PMS 与 HLOS 的关联最显著(F=14.891,p<0.001)。出院回家的患者平均 HLOS 为 6.5 天(SD 8.0),而出院到机构护理的患者平均 HLOS 为 9.7 天(SD 6.4;p<0.001)。
本研究表明,PMS 与出院去向和 HLOS 密切相关。老年创伤性髋部骨折患者出院去向的决策树提供了一个实用的解决方案,可在入院时开始出院计划,从而有可能缩短 HLOS。
III 级,诊断。