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中东欧国家的修正环境库兹涅茨曲线。基于面板门限模型的经济部门证据。

Revised environmental Kuznets Curve in CEE countries. Evidence from panel threshold models for economic sectors.

机构信息

Institute for Economic Forecasting of the Romanian Academy, 13, Calea 13 Septembrie, 050711, Bucharest, Romania.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Nov;28(43):60881-60899. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-14905-3. Epub 2021 Jun 24.

Abstract

The recent environmental debates in the European Green Deal to reduce pollution determine the reconsideration of the relationship between economic development and environmental quality. In this context, this paper explains the GHG emissions in few Central and Eastern European countries (CEEs) (Bulgaria, Poland, Hungary, Slovak Republic, Czech Republic and Romania) in the period 1990-2019 and proposes suitable economic policies to reduce pollution. Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) and renewable energy Kuznets Curve (RKC) are considered in a methodological framework based on panel threshold and dynamic panel models. The analysis based on GHG emissions from all economic sectors and GHG emissions from agriculture indicates similarities and differences related to the impact of economic indicators on pollution. The results of estimations indicated an inverted N-shaped relationship between GDP and GHG emissions and an N-shaped pattern between value added in agriculture and pollution. The U-shaped RKC was confirmed for overall economy and for agriculture. The policy proposals based on empirical findings promote sustainable development in the analysed states by reducing pollution.

摘要

在欧洲绿色协议中的最近的环境辩论旨在减少污染,这决定了重新考虑经济发展与环境质量之间的关系。在这种背景下,本文解释了 1990 年至 2019 年间几个中东欧国家(保加利亚、波兰、匈牙利、斯洛伐克共和国、捷克共和国和罗马尼亚)的温室气体排放情况,并提出了减少污染的合适经济政策。在基于面板门槛和动态面板模型的方法框架中,考虑了环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)和可再生能源库兹涅茨曲线(RKC)。基于所有经济部门的温室气体排放和农业温室气体排放的分析表明,经济指标对污染的影响存在相似之处和差异。估计结果表明,国内生产总值与温室气体排放之间存在倒 N 型关系,农业增加值与污染之间存在 N 型关系。整体经济和农业的 RKC 呈 U 型。基于实证结果的政策建议通过减少污染,促进了分析国家的可持续发展。

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