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中亚的环境库兹涅茨曲线再探讨:城市化和可再生能源的作用。

Environmental Kuznets curve revisit in Central Asia: the roles of urbanization and renewable energy.

机构信息

School of Business, Luoyang Normal University, 6# Jiqing RD, Luoyang City,, Henan, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Aug;26(23):23386-23398. doi: 10.1007/s11356-019-05600-5. Epub 2019 Jun 14.

Abstract

Based on the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis, the aim of this paper is to examine the relationships among per capita CO emissions, per capita real GDP, per capita renewable energy consumption, and urbanization in a panel of five Central Asian countries (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan) from 1992 to 2013. For robustness checking, three estimator techniques reveal no evidence of inverted U-shape EKC consistently. Moreover, renewable energy consumption plays negative impact on emissions, while urbanization plays positive, significantly. The findings of heterogeneous panel causality suggest that there are bidirectional causalities; each other expect no causality from emissions to renewable energy. Finally, some implications, such as developing a small renewable energy project and sustainable urbanization and strengthening in-regional and out-regional cooperation, are given in this region.

摘要

基于环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说,本文旨在检验 1992 年至 2013 年间五个中亚国家(哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、塔吉克斯坦、土库曼斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦)人均 CO 排放量、人均实际 GDP、人均可再生能源消费和城市化之间的关系。为了进行稳健性检验,三种估计技术均未一致表明存在倒 U 型 EKC。此外,可再生能源消费对排放有负面影响,而城市化则有显著的积极影响。异质面板因果关系的发现表明存在双向因果关系;除了从排放到可再生能源的因果关系外,彼此之间没有因果关系。最后,在该地区提出了一些建议,如发展小型可再生能源项目和可持续城市化,加强区域内和区域外合作。

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